Verizon Communications (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.96
| VERZ34 Stock | BRL 33.23 0.08 0.24% |
Verizon |
Verizon Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 33.96
The tendency of Verizon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 33.96 after 90 days |
| 33.23 | 90 days | 33.96 | about 63.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verizon Communications to stay under R$ 33.96 after 90 days from now is about 63.08 (This Verizon Communications probability density function shows the probability of Verizon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Verizon Communications price to stay between its current price of R$ 33.23 and R$ 33.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Verizon Communications has a beta of -0.0298. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Verizon Communications are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Verizon Communications is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Verizon Communications has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Verizon Communications Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Verizon Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verizon Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verizon Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Verizon Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verizon Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verizon Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verizon Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verizon Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Verizon Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verizon Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verizon Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has accumulated 140.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.4, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Verizon Communications has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Verizon Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Verizon Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Verizon Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Verizon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Verizon Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Verizon Communications Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verizon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verizon Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verizon Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 B |
Verizon Communications Technical Analysis
Verizon Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verizon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verizon Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verizon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Verizon Communications Predictive Forecast Models
Verizon Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Verizon Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Verizon Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Verizon Communications
Checking the ongoing alerts about Verizon Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verizon Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has accumulated 140.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.4, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Verizon Communications has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Verizon Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Verizon Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Verizon Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Verizon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Verizon Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Check out Verizon Communications Backtesting, Verizon Communications Valuation, Verizon Communications Correlation, Verizon Communications Hype Analysis, Verizon Communications Volatility, Verizon Communications History as well as Verizon Communications Performance. For information on how to trade Verizon Stock refer to our How to Trade Verizon Stock guide.Note that the Verizon Communications information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Verizon Communications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Verizon Stock analysis
When running Verizon Communications' price analysis, check to measure Verizon Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verizon Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Verizon Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verizon Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verizon Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verizon Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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