Viking Kagit (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.14

VKING Stock  TRY 58.75  5.30  9.92%   
Viking Kagit's future price is the expected price of Viking Kagit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Viking Kagit ve performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Viking Kagit Backtesting, Viking Kagit Valuation, Viking Kagit Correlation, Viking Kagit Hype Analysis, Viking Kagit Volatility, Viking Kagit History as well as Viking Kagit Performance.
  
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Viking Kagit Target Price Odds to finish below 46.14

The tendency of Viking Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  46.14  or more in 90 days
 58.75 90 days 46.14 
about 87.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Viking Kagit to drop to  46.14  or more in 90 days from now is about 87.09 (This Viking Kagit ve probability density function shows the probability of Viking Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Viking Kagit ve price to stay between  46.14  and its current price of 58.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Viking Kagit ve has a beta of -0.77. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Viking Kagit are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Viking Kagit ve is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Viking Kagit ve has an alpha of 1.1854, implying that it can generate a 1.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Viking Kagit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Viking Kagit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viking Kagit ve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Viking Kagit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.3558.7563.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.6943.0964.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.2564.6569.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.1654.3866.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Viking Kagit. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Viking Kagit's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Viking Kagit's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Viking Kagit ve.

Viking Kagit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Viking Kagit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Viking Kagit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Viking Kagit ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Viking Kagit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.77
σ
Overall volatility
6.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Viking Kagit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Viking Kagit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Viking Kagit ve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Viking Kagit ve appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 34.18 M in total debt. Viking Kagit ve has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Viking Kagit until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Viking Kagit's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Viking Kagit ve sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Viking to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Viking Kagit's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 340.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (118.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.2 M.
Viking Kagit ve has accumulated about 5.2 M in cash with (20.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Viking Kagit Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Viking Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Viking Kagit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Viking Kagit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42 M

Viking Kagit Technical Analysis

Viking Kagit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Viking Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Viking Kagit ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Viking Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Viking Kagit Predictive Forecast Models

Viking Kagit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Viking Kagit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Viking Kagit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Viking Kagit ve

Checking the ongoing alerts about Viking Kagit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Viking Kagit ve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Viking Kagit ve appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 34.18 M in total debt. Viking Kagit ve has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Viking Kagit until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Viking Kagit's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Viking Kagit ve sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Viking to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Viking Kagit's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 340.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (118.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.2 M.
Viking Kagit ve has accumulated about 5.2 M in cash with (20.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out Viking Kagit Backtesting, Viking Kagit Valuation, Viking Kagit Correlation, Viking Kagit Hype Analysis, Viking Kagit Volatility, Viking Kagit History as well as Viking Kagit Performance.
Note that the Viking Kagit ve information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Viking Kagit's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running Viking Kagit's price analysis, check to measure Viking Kagit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Viking Kagit is operating at the current time. Most of Viking Kagit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Viking Kagit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Viking Kagit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Viking Kagit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Viking Kagit's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Viking Kagit is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Viking Kagit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.