Defiance Sp 500 Etf Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 36.6
| WDTE Etf | 34.25 0.01 0.03% |
Closest to current price Defiance long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Defiance | Build AI portfolio with Defiance Etf |
Defiance Target Price Odds to finish below 36.6
The tendency of Defiance Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 36.60 after 90 days |
| 34.25 | 90 days | 36.60 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defiance to stay under 36.60 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Defiance SP 500 probability density function shows the probability of Defiance Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Defiance SP 500 price to stay between its current price of 34.25 and 36.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Defiance has a beta of 0.5. This entails as returns on the market go up, Defiance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Defiance SP 500 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Defiance SP 500 has an alpha of 0.1429, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Defiance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Defiance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance SP 500. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Defiance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defiance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defiance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defiance SP 500, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defiance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Defiance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defiance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defiance SP 500 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Defiance SP 500 was previously known as Tidal Trust II and was traded on NYSE ARCA Exchange under the symbol JEPY. | |
| Defiance is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days |
Defiance Technical Analysis
Defiance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Defiance Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Defiance SP 500. In general, you should focus on analyzing Defiance Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Defiance Predictive Forecast Models
Defiance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Defiance's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Defiance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Defiance SP 500
Checking the ongoing alerts about Defiance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Defiance SP 500 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Defiance SP 500 was previously known as Tidal Trust II and was traded on NYSE ARCA Exchange under the symbol JEPY. | |
| Defiance is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days |
Check out Defiance Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Defiance Correlation, Defiance Hype Analysis, Defiance Volatility, Defiance History as well as Defiance Performance. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
The market value of Defiance SP 500 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Defiance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Defiance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Defiance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Defiance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Defiance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.