Astra Agro (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AALI Stock  IDR 6,900  50.00  0.73%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Astra Agro Lestari is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Astra Agro buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AALI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Astra Agro's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Astra Agro's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
6.9 K
Hype Value
6.9 K
Market Value
6.9 K
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Astra Agro Lestari given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Astra Agro. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Astra Agro Lestari, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Astra Agro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Astra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Astra Agro Lestari. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Astra Agro Buy or Sell Advice

The Astra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Astra Agro Lestari. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Astra Agro Lestari or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Astra Agro's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Astra AgroBuy Astra Agro
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Astra Agro Lestari has a Mean Deviation of 0.4657, Standard Deviation of 0.674 and Variance of 0.4542
Macroaxis provides advice on Astra Agro Lestari to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Astra Agro Lestari. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Astra Agro is not overpriced, please confirm all Astra Agro Lestari fundamentals, including its revenue, ebitda, and the relationship between the price to sales and gross profit .

Astra Agro Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Astra Agro Lestari generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Astra Agro Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Astra Agro's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Astra Agro's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Astra Agro daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Astra Agro Lestari price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Astra Agro returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Astra Agro.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-1.12
Potential Upside
1.12
Standard Deviation
0.67
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Astra Agro historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Astra Agro Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Astra Agro or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Astra Agro's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Astra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Astra Agro Volatility Alert

Astra Agro Lestari exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.48 and kurtosis of 1.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Astra Agro's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Astra Agro's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Astra Agro Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Astra Agro's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Astra Agro's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Astra Agro and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Astra Agro or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Astra Agro's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Astra Agro by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Astra Agro to competition
FundamentalsAstra AgroPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0847-0.31
Return On Asset0.0505-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation17.71 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.92 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders79.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.13 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.73 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.68 X11.42 X
Revenue24.32 T9.43 B
Gross Profit4.88 T27.38 B
EBITDA3.44 T3.9 B
Net Income1.97 T570.98 M
Total Debt2.13 T5.32 B
Book Value Per Share10,968 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.9 T971.22 M
Earnings Per Share892.65 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.29 X4.89 X
Target Price11449.4
Number Of Employees28.46 K18.84 K
Beta0.95-0.15
Market Capitalization15.73 T19.03 B
Total Asset30.4 T29.47 B
Z Score4.28.72
Annual Yield0.05 %
Net Asset30.4 T
Last Dividend Paid444.0

Astra Agro Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Astra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Astra Agro Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Astra Agro Lestari? Buying financial instruments such as Astra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Astra Agro in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Natural Foods Thematic Idea Now

Natural Foods
Natural Foods Theme
Companies producing natural foods including dairy products and different types of meets. The Natural Foods theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Natural Foods Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Check out Astra Agro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Astra Stock analysis

When running Astra Agro's price analysis, check to measure Astra Agro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astra Agro is operating at the current time. Most of Astra Agro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astra Agro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astra Agro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astra Agro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astra Agro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astra Agro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astra Agro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.