Build Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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BBW -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: 31st of July 2020  

Considering the 30-days investment horizon, and your above-average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Build A Bear is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Build A buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Build A positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Build A Bear available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Build A buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Build A Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Build ABuy Build A
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Build A Bear has a mean deviation of 6.18, semi deviation of 6.66, standard deviation of 8.5, variance of 72.33, downside variance of 62.08 and semi variance of 44.41
We provide buy or sell advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Build A Bear. Our dynamic recommendation engine makes use of a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Build A is not overpriced, please confirm all Build A Bear fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Please also double-check Build A Bear number of shares shorted to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Build A Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Build A Bear appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported last year revenue of 300.8 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (22.14 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 153.62 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.equities.com: Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. Soars 5.31 percent on June 30 - Equities.com

Build A current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Build analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Build analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Median Price5.75
Target Mean Price5.75
Recommendation Mean1.50
Target High Price7.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions2
Target Low Price4.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation is comprised of individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Build A Returns Distribution Density

The chart of the probability distribution of Build A stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Build A Bear' stock's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The distribution of Build A returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Build A stock.
Mean Return0.92Value At Risk-12.75
Potential Upside17.65Standard Deviation8.50
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Build A historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Build A Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Build A or Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Build A stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Build stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.32
β
Beta against DOW=2.26
σ
Overall volatility
=8.00
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

Build A Volatility Alert

Build A Bear is displaying above-average volatility of 8.5 over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Build A Bear independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Build A volatility.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Build A to competition

Build A Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsBuild APeer Average
Return On Equity(28.22) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(3.11) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(7.36) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(4.85) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation162.07 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding15.44 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders7.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions60.14 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.88 M4.71 M
Price to Earning11.14 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.49 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.11 X11.42 X
Revenue300.8 M9.43 B
Gross Profit153.62 M27.38 B
EBITDA(952 K)3.9 B
Net Income(22.14 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents21.85 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt151.38 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity2.21 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.59 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations13.96 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.64 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.50) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.04) X4.89 X
Number of Employees1 K18.84 K
Beta1.97-0.15
Market Capitalization34.43 M19.03 B
Total Asset213.33 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings38.74 M9.33 B
Working Capital28.87 M1.48 B
Current Asset128.73 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by J Hurt of 6834 shares of Build A subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Build A Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Build A Bear? Buying stocks such as Build A isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although Build A investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2011 2012 2016 2020 (projected)
Receivables7.88 M11.53 M12.94 M12.88 M
Inventories51.86 M53.38 M51.88 M55.4 M

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Continue to Build A Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page