American Funds Balanced Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BLPDX Fund  USD 17.09  0.14  0.81%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Funds Balanced is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Funds buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BLPDX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Funds' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting American Funds' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
17.11
Hype Value
17.09
Market Value
17.09
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American Funds Balanced given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards American Funds. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American Funds Balanced, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out American Funds Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards American Funds Balanced. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute American Funds Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Funds Balanced. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Funds Balanced or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Funds' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American FundsBuy American Funds
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon American Funds Balanced has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0488, Jensen Alpha of (0.01), Total Risk Alpha of (0.01), Sortino Ratio of (0.04) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0416
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Funds Balanced and to analyze the fund potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Please makes use of American Funds total asset, five year return, as well as the relationship between the Five Year Return and bond positions weight to make buy, hold, or sell decision on American Funds Balanced.

American Funds Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The fund holds about 5.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

American Funds Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Funds' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Funds' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Funds daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Funds Balanced price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Funds returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Funds.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-0.81
Potential Upside
0.87
Standard Deviation
0.50
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Funds historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Funds Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Funds or American Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Funds' price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0082
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.74
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

American Funds Volatility Alert

American Funds Balanced exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.29 and kurtosis of -0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Funds' mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Funds' mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

American Funds Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Funds' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Funds' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Funds and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Funds or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Funds' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Funds by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Funds to competition
FundamentalsAmerican FundsPeer Average
Annual Yield0.02 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return2.91 %0.39 %
One Year Return12.78 %4.15 %
Three Year Return3.37 %3.60 %
Five Year Return7.53 %3.24 %
Net Asset8.07 B4.11 B
Last Dividend Paid0.070.65
Cash Position Weight5.49 %10.61 %
Equity Positions Weight62.80 %63.90 %
Bond Positions Weight5.01 %11.24 %

American Funds Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Funds Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Funds Balanced? Buying financial instruments such as American Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having American Funds in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Gambling Thematic Idea Now

Gambling
Gambling Theme
Companies that are related to providing gambling services across multiple geographical areas by investing, exploring, or producing software, hardware, and related infrastructure for running gambling operations or trading speculative assets. The Gambling theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Gambling Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out American Funds Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the American Funds Balanced information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Funds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.