Babcock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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BW -- USA Stock  

USD 2.26  0.01  0.44%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above-average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Babcock Wilcox Enterprises is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Babcock Wilcox buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BW positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Babcock Wilcox Enter available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from BW buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Babcock Wilcox Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

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Sell Babcock WilcoxBuy Babcock Wilcox
Strong Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Babcock Wilcox Enterprises has a mean deviation of 5.63, semi deviation of 3.84, standard deviation of 9.15, variance of 83.72, downside variance of 22.19 and semi variance of 14.71
We provide buy or sell advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Babcock Wilcox Enter. Our dynamic recommendation engine makes use of a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Babcock Wilcox is not overpriced, please confirm all Babcock Wilcox Enter fundamentals, including its net income, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the price to book and current ratio . Please also double-check Babcock Wilcox Enterprises number of shares shorted to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Babcock Wilcox Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Babcock Wilcox Enter appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
Babcock Wilcox Enter has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments
The company generated yearly revenue of 775.73 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (106.34 M) with gross profit of 160.26 M.
BRUSH ENGINEERED reports about 35.38 M in cash with (174.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.76.
Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.directorstalkinterviews.com: Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, I - Consensus Indicates Potential -73.1 percent Downside - DirectorsTalk Interviews

Babcock Wilcox current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Babcock analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Babcock analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Median Price0.60
Target Mean Price0.60
Target High Price0.60
Number Of Analyst Opinions1
Target Low Price0.60
Average Consensus Strong Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation is comprised of individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Babcock Wilcox Returns Distribution Density

The chart of the probability distribution of Babcock Wilcox stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Babcock Wilcox Enterprises' stock's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The distribution of Babcock Wilcox returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Babcock Wilcox stock.
Mean Return1.52Value At Risk-8.11
Potential Upside15.50Standard Deviation9.15
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Babcock Wilcox historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
B Riley Financial IncCommon Shares6.9 MM
Scw Capital Management LpCommon Shares1.9 M1.9 M
Neuberger Berman Group LlcCommon Shares1.5 M1.5 M
Viex Capital Advisors LlcCommon Shares1.5 M1.5 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares1.5 M1.5 M
Steel Partners Holdings LpCommon Shares987.5 KM
Wynnefield Capital IncCommon Shares662 K675 K
Group One Trading LpPut Options391.1 K399 K
Viex Capital Advisors LlcCall Options200.4 K204 K

Babcock Wilcox Cash Flow Accounts

2014201520162017201820192020 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(15.47 M)(35.4 M)(22.45 M)(14.28 M)(5.47 M)(3.8 M)(4.1 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion32.44 M34.93 M39.58 M40.14 M32 M28.96 M33.69 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents27.34 M146.53 M(278.68 M)(41.01 M)(22.37 M)(3.34 M)(3.6 M)
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals507 K(127.7 M)(126.78 M)(52.55 M)183.78 M7.45 M8.03 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(1.57 M)(1.08 M)(4.77 M)224.85 M(161.67 M)126.46 M136.44 M
Net Cash Flow from Financing211.67 M53.61 M(83.43 M)206.12 M82.61 M167.02 M180.2 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(148.63 M)(45.85 M)(190.22 M)(63.93 M)179.22 M8.78 M9.47 M
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(4.88 M)(9.87 M)(41.63 M)2.18 M384 K2.63 M2.84 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(24.22 M)170.4 M2.27 M(189.83 M)(281.88 M)(176.32 M)(180.96 M)
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(9.55 M)(6.41 M)(7.31 M)6.63 M(2.32 M)(2.82 M)(3.04 M)
Share Based Compensation(11 K)7.77 M16.13 M11.81 M2.25 M3.08 M4.54 M

Babcock Wilcox Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Babcock Wilcox or Aggressive Defence sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Babcock Wilcox stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Babcock stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
=1.69
β
Beta against DOW=-1.03
σ
Overall volatility
=9.25
Ir
Information ratio =0.15

Babcock Wilcox Volatility Alert

Babcock Wilcox Enterprises is displaying above-average volatility of 9.15 over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Babcock Wilcox Enterprises independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Babcock Wilcox volatility.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Babcock Wilcox to competition

Babcock Wilcox Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsBabcock WilcoxPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0039 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset2.05 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(13.37) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin2.88 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation435.41 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding49.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.91 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions74.25 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted517.1 K4.71 M
Price to Earning(0.91) X28.72 X
Price to Book3.12 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.14 X11.42 X
Revenue775.73 M9.43 B
Gross Profit160.26 M27.38 B
EBITDA39.92 M3.9 B
Net Income(106.34 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents35.38 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.76 X5.01 X
Total Debt364.69 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity360.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.33 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(7.00) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(174.08 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.69) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.10) X4.89 X
Number of Employees2.4 K18.84 K
Beta2.27-0.15
Market Capitalization111.94 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.66 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.38 B)9.33 B
Working Capital416.83 M1.48 B
Current Asset978.18 M9.34 B
   Babcock Wilcox exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

About Babcock Wilcox Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Babcock Wilcox Enterprises? Buying stocks such as Babcock Wilcox isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although Babcock Wilcox investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Receivables370.67 M241.87 M278.14 M329.85 M
Inventories82.16 M61.32 M70.52 M87.46 M

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Continue to Babcock Wilcox Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Bollinger Bands module to use bollinger bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page