Chubb Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CB Stock  USD 259.13  0.63  0.24%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Chubb is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Chubb buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Chubb positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Chubb's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Chubb's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
249.46
Target Price
243
Hype Value
258.6
Market Value
259.13
Naive Value
256.12
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Chubb given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Chubb. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Chubb, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Chubb Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Chubb Stock refer to our How to Trade Chubb Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Chubb and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Chubb. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Chubb Buy or Sell Advice

The Chubb recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Chubb. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Chubb or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Chubb's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ChubbBuy Chubb
Strong Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Chubb has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1915, Jensen Alpha of 0.2145, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0764, Sortino Ratio of 0.2183 and Treynor Ratio of 1.08
Macroaxis provides advice on Chubb to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Chubb. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Chubb is not overpriced, please confirm all Chubb fundamentals, including its gross profit, cash per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and net income . Given that Chubb has a price to earning of 15.30 X, we suggest you to validate Chubb market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Chubb Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reports 18.47 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.43, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Chubb has a current ratio of 0.36, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Chubb until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chubb's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chubb sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chubb to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chubb's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 86.0% of Chubb shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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Chubb Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Chubb's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Chubb's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Chubb daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Chubb price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Chubb returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Chubb.
Mean Return
0.25
Value At Risk
-0.75
Potential Upside
1.18
Standard Deviation
0.74
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Chubb historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Chubb Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Chubb is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chubb backward and forwards among themselves. Chubb's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Chubb's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
5.4 M
Capital Research Global Investors2023-12-31
4.6 M
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
4.3 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
4.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
4.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
3.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
3.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
38.9 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
29.5 M
Note, although Chubb's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Chubb Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash306M190M(25M)316M494M518.7M
Free Cash Flow7.7B10.7B12.6B11.2B13.8B14.5B
Other Non Cash Items38M(260M)(219M)1.6B419M321.8M
Net Income4.5B3.5B8.5B5.3B9.0B9.5B
End Period Cash Flow1.6B1.8B1.8B2.1B2.6B2.8B
Dividends Paid1.4B1.4B1.4B1.4B(1.4B)(1.3B)
Depreciation305M290M287M285M310M221.9M
Investments(4.6B)(5.4B)(5.0B)(3.6B)(5.9B)(5.6B)
Change Receivables(270M)(114M)(984M)(2.5B)(2.2B)(2.1B)
Net Borrowings2.3B(313M)1.6B(998M)(898.2M)(853.3M)
Change To Netincome433M165M(3.7B)1.1B972.9M1.0B

Chubb Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Chubb or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Chubb's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Chubb stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Chubb Volatility Alert

Chubb exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.17 and kurtosis of 3.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Chubb's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Chubb's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Chubb Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Chubb's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Chubb's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Chubb and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Chubb or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Chubb's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chubb by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Chubb to competition
FundamentalsChubbPeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0275-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation121.07 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding405.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.26 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.45 M4.71 M
Price To Earning15.30 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.76 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.11 X11.42 X
Revenue50 B9.43 B
Gross Profit10.63 B27.38 B
EBITDA91 M3.9 B
Net Income9.03 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.66 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share16.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt18.47 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.43 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.37 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share146.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations13.8 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.44 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share21.79 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.75 X4.89 X
Target Price265.1
Number Of Employees40 K18.84 K
Beta0.63-0.15
Market Capitalization104.89 B19.03 B
Total Asset207.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings54.81 B9.33 B
Z Score4.028.72
Note: Disposition of 210 shares by Timothy Boroughs of Chubb at 256.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Chubb Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Chubb . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Chubb Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Chubb? Buying financial instruments such as Chubb Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity59.7B50.5B59.5B62.5B
Total Assets200.1B199.1B207.2B217.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Chubb in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Currency Funds Thematic Idea Now

Currency Funds
Currency Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in a single currency or combination of currencies from different countries in order to replicate respective foreign exchange markets. The Currency Funds theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Currency Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Chubb offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Chubb's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Chubb Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Chubb Stock:
Check out Chubb Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Chubb Stock refer to our How to Trade Chubb Stock guide.
Note that the Chubb information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Chubb's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for Chubb Stock analysis

When running Chubb's price analysis, check to measure Chubb's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chubb is operating at the current time. Most of Chubb's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chubb's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chubb's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chubb to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Chubb's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chubb. If investors know Chubb will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chubb listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.567
Dividend Share
3.41
Earnings Share
21.79
Revenue Per Share
120.958
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.116
The market value of Chubb is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chubb that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chubb's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chubb's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chubb's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chubb's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chubb's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chubb is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chubb's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.