Aquila Tax Free Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

COTCX Fund  USD 9.78  0.02  0.20%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aquila Tax Free Fund is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Aquila Tax-free buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding COTCX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aquila Tax-free's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aquila Tax-free's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
9.59
Hype Value
9.78
Market Value
9.78
Naive Value
9.77
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aquila Tax Free Fund given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aquila Tax-free. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aquila Tax Free Fund, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aquila Tax-free Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Aquila and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aquila Tax Free Fund. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Aquila Tax-free Buy or Sell Advice

The Aquila recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aquila Tax Free Fund. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aquila Tax Free Fund or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aquila Tax-free's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aquila Tax-freeBuy Aquila Tax-free
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Aquila Tax Free Fund has a Mean Deviation of 0.0703, Standard Deviation of 0.112 and Variance of 0.0125
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aquila Tax-free Fund. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the fund's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. Please makes use of Aquila Tax-free total asset and ten year return to make buy, hold, or sell decision on Aquila Tax-free Fund.

Aquila Tax-free Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aquila Tax-free Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aquila Tax-free Fund generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund holds about 5.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Aquila Tax-free Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aquila Tax-free's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aquila Tax-free's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aquila Tax-free daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aquila Tax Free Fund price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aquila Tax-free returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aquila Tax-free.
Mean Return
-0.0077
Value At Risk
-0.2
Potential Upside
0.10
Standard Deviation
0.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aquila Tax-free historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aquila Tax-free Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aquila Tax-free or Aquila sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aquila Tax-free's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aquila fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -1.27

Aquila Tax-free Volatility Alert

Aquila Tax Free Fund exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.27 and kurtosis of 2.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aquila Tax-free's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aquila Tax-free's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aquila Tax-free Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aquila Tax-free's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aquila Tax-free's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aquila Tax-free and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aquila Tax-free or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aquila Tax-free's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aquila Tax-free by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aquila Tax-free to competition
FundamentalsAquila Tax-freePeer Average
Annual Yield0 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return0.03 %0.39 %
One Year Return1.08 %4.15 %
Three Year Return(1.71) %3.60 %
Five Year Return(0.29) %3.24 %
Ten Year Return2.22 %1.79 %
Net Asset167.59 M4.11 B
Cash Position Weight5.02 %10.61 %

Aquila Tax-free Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aquila . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aquila Tax-free Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aquila Tax Free Fund? Buying financial instruments such as Aquila Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aquila Tax-free in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Military Industrial Thematic Idea Now

Military Industrial
Military Industrial Theme
A collection of large United States defense contractors including companies involved in production or distribution of aircraft, ships, vehicles, weaponry, and electronic systems in cooperation with the government. The Military Industrial theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Military Industrial Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Aquila Tax-free Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Aquila Tax-free Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aquila Tax-free's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Aquila Tax-free's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aquila Tax-free is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aquila Tax-free's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.