Darling Ingredients Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DAR Stock  USD 41.71  0.67  1.58%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Darling Ingredients is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Darling Ingredients buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DAR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Darling Ingredients' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Darling Ingredients' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
42.97
Target Price
82.67
Hype Value
41.71
Market Value
41.71
Naive Value
40.85
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Darling Ingredients given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Darling Ingredients. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Darling Ingredients, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Darling Ingredients Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Darling Stock, please use our How to Invest in Darling Ingredients guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Darling and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Darling Ingredients. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Darling Ingredients Buy or Sell Advice

The Darling recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Darling Ingredients. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Darling Ingredients or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Darling Ingredients' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Darling IngredientsBuy Darling Ingredients
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Darling Ingredients has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.20), Total Risk Alpha of (0.27) and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Darling Ingredients advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts reviewing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Darling Ingredients is not overpriced, please confirm all Darling Ingredients fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Darling Ingredients has a price to earning of 16.11 X, we urge you to verify Darling Ingredients market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Darling Ingredients Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Darling Ingredients generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Darling Ingredients is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Darling Ingredients Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Darling Ingredients Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Darling Ingredients' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Darling Ingredients' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Darling Ingredients daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Darling Ingredients price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Darling Ingredients returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Darling Ingredients.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-3.44
Potential Upside
3.66
Standard Deviation
2.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Darling Ingredients historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Darling Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Darling Ingredients is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Darling Ingredients backward and forwards among themselves. Darling Ingredients' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Darling Ingredients' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Davis Selected Advisers2023-12-31
3.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
2.5 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.5 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
2.4 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
1.9 M
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
1.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
1.8 M
Fidelity International Ltd2023-12-31
1.8 M
Gates Capital Management Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
18.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
15.4 M
Note, although Darling Ingredients' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Darling Ingredients Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(39.1M)(18.7M)(72.9M)(130.2M)49.6M52.1M
Change In Cash(34.3M)8.7M(12.6M)81.1M(537K)(510.2K)
Free Cash Flow(528K)340.7M430.0M420.9M342.3M359.4M
Depreciation325.5M350.2M316.4M394.7M502.0M527.1M
Other Non Cash Items(305.7M)(71.2M)(353.2M)(258.8M)(195.2M)(185.4M)
Capital Expenditures363.1M283.9M274.4M392.8M557.0M584.9M
Net Income321.0M300.3M657.3M747.1M647.7M680.1M
End Period Cash Flow73.0M81.7M69.1M150.2M126.8M88.0M
Dividends Paid10.3M1.0B492.6M664.4M764.1M802.3M
Investments2M(310.6M)(490.3M)(2.4B)(1.7B)(1.6B)
Change Receivables(6.3M)(26.1M)22.4M(80.0M)(72.0M)(68.4M)
Net Borrowings517.6M(240.1M)(106.0M)1.9B2.2B2.3B
Change To Netincome99.6M287.6M123.6M(182.6M)(210.0M)(199.5M)

Darling Ingredients Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Darling Ingredients or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Darling Ingredients' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Darling stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.2
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Darling Ingredients Volatility Alert

Darling Ingredients exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.01 and kurtosis of -0.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Darling Ingredients' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Darling Ingredients' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Darling Ingredients Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Darling Ingredients' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Darling Ingredients' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Darling Ingredients and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Darling Ingredients or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Darling Ingredients' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Darling Ingredients by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Darling Ingredients to competition
FundamentalsDarling IngredientsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.037-0.14
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.36 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding159.78 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.03 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.97 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.94 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.11 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.54 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.04 X11.42 X
Revenue6.75 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.53 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.06 B3.9 B
Net Income647.73 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents127.02 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.79 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.64 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.94 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.52 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share28.87 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations899.26 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.52 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.99 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth14.47 X4.89 X
Target Price62.82
Number Of Employees15.8 K18.84 K
Beta1.3-0.15
Market Capitalization6.77 B19.03 B
Total Asset11.06 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.73 B9.33 B
Working Capital857.53 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Brad Phillips of 12798 shares of Darling Ingredients subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Darling Ingredients Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Darling . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Darling Ingredients Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Darling Ingredients? Buying financial instruments such as Darling Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.6B3.6B4.6B4.9B
Total Assets6.1B9.2B11.1B11.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Darling Ingredients in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run World Allocation Funds Thematic Idea Now

World Allocation Funds
World Allocation Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in stocks, bonds, and cash of domestic markets as well as in markets of Canada, Japan, and Europe. The World Allocation Funds theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize World Allocation Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Darling Ingredients is a strong investment it is important to analyze Darling Ingredients' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Darling Ingredients' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Darling Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Darling Ingredients Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Darling Stock, please use our How to Invest in Darling Ingredients guide.
Note that the Darling Ingredients information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Darling Ingredients' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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Is Darling Ingredients' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Darling Ingredients. If investors know Darling will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Darling Ingredients listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.45)
Earnings Share
3.99
Revenue Per Share
42.462
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
Return On Assets
0.037
The market value of Darling Ingredients is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Darling that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Darling Ingredients' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Darling Ingredients' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Darling Ingredients' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Darling Ingredients' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Darling Ingredients' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Darling Ingredients is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Darling Ingredients' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.