Phoenix New Media Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FENG Stock  USD 1.88  0.01  0.53%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Phoenix New Media is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Phoenix New buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FENG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Phoenix New's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Phoenix New's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
1.5
Hype Value
1.91
Market Value
1.88
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Phoenix New Media given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Phoenix New. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Phoenix New Media, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Phoenix New Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Phoenix and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Phoenix New Media. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Phoenix New Buy or Sell Advice

The Phoenix recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Phoenix New Media. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Phoenix New Media or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Phoenix New's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Phoenix NewBuy Phoenix New
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Extremely DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Phoenix New Media has a Mean Deviation of 4.47, Semi Deviation of 4.19, Standard Deviation of 7.85, Variance of 61.68, Downside Variance of 20.37 and Semi Variance of 17.55
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Phoenix New Media. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Phoenix New is not overpriced, please check all Phoenix New Media fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Please also confirm Phoenix New Media price to earning to check out your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Phoenix New Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Phoenix New Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Phoenix New Media may become a speculative penny stock
Phoenix New Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 704.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.2 M.
Phoenix New Media currently holds about 1.32 B in cash with (312.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
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Phoenix New Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Phoenix New's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Phoenix New's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Phoenix New daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Phoenix New Media price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Phoenix New returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Phoenix New.
Mean Return
0.67
Value At Risk
-7.88
Potential Upside
15.38
Standard Deviation
7.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Phoenix New historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Phoenix Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Phoenix New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phoenix New Media backward and forwards among themselves. Phoenix New's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Phoenix New's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fidelity International Ltd2023-09-30
551 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-09-30
92.5 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2023-09-30
77 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
59.5 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
25 K
Two Sigma Securities, Llc2023-09-30
13.9 K
Rhumbline Advisers2023-09-30
4.2 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-09-30
3.5 K
Group One Trading, Lp2023-09-30
1.5 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-09-30
800
Note, although Phoenix New's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Phoenix New Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures56.0M83.8M12.1M16.8M34.0M0.0
Net Income724.0M365.3M(273.1M)(125.7M)(69.1M)(65.6M)
End Period Cash Flow424.0M388.8M204.6M105.0M94.5M89.8M
Change To Netincome11.8M(1.0B)(279.8M)114.0M102.6M107.7M
Change To Inventory(2.6M)(24.4M)(50.9M)(135.8M)(122.3M)(116.2M)
Change In Cash(19.7M)11.7M(184.2M)(99.6M)(89.6M)(85.1M)
Free Cash Flow(414.1M)(115.2M)(159.7M)(346.4M)(311.7M)(296.1M)
Depreciation112.3M78.9M66.1M54.7M63.0M48.8M
Other Non Cash Items(1.0B)(307.8M)177.1M24.6M22.2M23.3M
Investments1.4B561.4M(42.7M)228.7M263.0M276.2M
Net Borrowings(28.6M)(79.5M)(267.9M)(7.6M)(6.9M)(7.2M)

Phoenix New Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Phoenix New or Interactive Media & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Phoenix New's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Phoenix stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.65
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.20
σ
Overall volatility
8.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Phoenix New Volatility Alert

Phoenix New Media is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Phoenix New's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Phoenix New's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Phoenix New Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Phoenix New's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Phoenix New's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Phoenix New and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Phoenix New or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Phoenix New's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Phoenix New by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Phoenix New to competition
FundamentalsPhoenix NewPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0898-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0415-0.14
Profit Margin(0.15) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(18.88 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding12.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions13.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted27.21 K4.71 M
Price To Earning3.17 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.15 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.04 X11.42 X
Revenue704.1 M9.43 B
Gross Profit237.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA(99.45 M)3.9 B
Net Income(69.06 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.32 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share108.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt104.59 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.99 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share101.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(312.41 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.19 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.80) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(96.83) X4.89 X
Target Price5.58
Beta0.59-0.15
Market Capitalization22.08 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.03 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(411.07 M)9.33 B
Working Capital997.33 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.93 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities742.84 M7.9 B

Phoenix New Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Phoenix . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Phoenix New Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Phoenix New Media? Buying financial instruments such as Phoenix Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities690.6M431.8M496.6M368.8M
Total Assets2.4B2.0B2.3B2.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Phoenix New in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Cigarettes Thematic Idea Now

Cigarettes
Cigarettes Theme
Tobacco makers and distributors across globe. The Cigarettes theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cigarettes Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Phoenix New Media is a strong investment it is important to analyze Phoenix New's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Phoenix New's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Phoenix Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Phoenix New Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Phoenix Stock analysis

When running Phoenix New's price analysis, check to measure Phoenix New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phoenix New is operating at the current time. Most of Phoenix New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phoenix New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phoenix New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phoenix New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Phoenix New's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phoenix New. If investors know Phoenix will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Phoenix New listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.86)
Earnings Share
(0.80)
Revenue Per Share
57.05
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Phoenix New Media is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Phoenix that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Phoenix New's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Phoenix New's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Phoenix New's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Phoenix New's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Phoenix New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phoenix New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phoenix New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.