Alfa Energi (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FIRE Stock  IDR 91.00  2.00  2.15%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alfa Energi Investama is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alfa Energi buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FIRE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alfa Energi's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Alfa Energi's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
82.74
Hype Value
92
Market Value
91
Naive Value
80.7
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alfa Energi Investama given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alfa Energi. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alfa Energi Investama, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alfa Energi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alfa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alfa Energi Investama. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Alfa Energi Buy or Sell Advice

The Alfa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alfa Energi Investama. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alfa Energi Investama or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alfa Energi's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alfa EnergiBuy Alfa Energi
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alfa Energi Investama has a Mean Deviation of 3.46, Standard Deviation of 6.25 and Variance of 39.03
Macroaxis provides advice on Alfa Energi Investama to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alfa Energi Investama. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alfa Energi is not overpriced, please confirm all Alfa Energi Investama fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, and the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Alfa Energi Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alfa Energi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alfa Energi has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 841.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (45.85 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 222.03 B.
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alfa Energi Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alfa Energi's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alfa Energi's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alfa Energi daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alfa Energi Investama price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alfa Energi returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alfa Energi.
Mean Return
-0.3
Value At Risk
-6.74
Potential Upside
7.56
Standard Deviation
6.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alfa Energi historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alfa Energi Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alfa Energi or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alfa Energi's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alfa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.31
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.04
σ
Overall volatility
6.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Alfa Energi Volatility Alert

Alfa Energi Investama is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alfa Energi's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alfa Energi's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alfa Energi Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alfa Energi's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alfa Energi's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alfa Energi and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alfa Energi or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alfa Energi's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alfa Energi by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alfa Energi to competition
FundamentalsAlfa EnergiPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.23-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0871-0.14
Profit Margin(0.25) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.23) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation327.69 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.47 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders54.28 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions9.00 %39.21 %
Price To Earning72.97 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.91 X11.42 X
Revenue841.15 B9.43 B
Gross Profit222.03 B27.38 B
EBITDA(43.83 B)3.9 B
Net Income(45.85 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents63.74 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share43.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt18.19 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.25 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share200.13 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations22.15 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(38.60) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees6818.84 K
Beta3.0E-4-0.15
Market Capitalization160.41 B19.03 B
Total Asset494.25 B29.47 B
Z Score5.88.72
Net Asset494.25 B

Alfa Energi Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alfa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alfa Energi Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alfa Energi Investama? Buying financial instruments such as Alfa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alfa Energi in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Macroaxis Picks
Macroaxis Picks Theme
Daily selected watch list of stocks of large companies handpicked by Macroaxis Team based on their diversification potential. The Macroaxis Picks theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Picks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Alfa Energi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Alfa Energi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alfa Energi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alfa Energi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.