Gudang Garam (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GGRM Stock  IDR 19,850  175.00  0.87%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gudang Garam Tbk is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gudang Garam buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GGRM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gudang Garam's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Gudang Garam's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
14.9 K
Hype Value
19.9 K
Market Value
19.9 K
Naive Value
20.4 K
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Gudang Garam Tbk given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Gudang Garam. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Gudang Garam Tbk, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Gudang Garam Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gudang and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gudang Garam Tbk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Gudang Garam Buy or Sell Advice

The Gudang recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gudang Garam Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gudang Garam Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gudang Garam's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gudang GaramBuy Gudang Garam
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Gudang Garam Tbk has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.13), Total Risk Alpha of (0.35) and Treynor Ratio of (0.22)
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Gudang Garam to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Gudang Garam Tbk. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Gudang Garam Tbk is not overpriced, please check out all Gudang Garam fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, and the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Gudang Garam Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gudang Garam Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Gudang Garam Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gudang Garam's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gudang Garam's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gudang Garam daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gudang Garam Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gudang Garam returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gudang Garam.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-1.57
Potential Upside
2.62
Standard Deviation
1.19
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gudang Garam historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gudang Garam Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gudang Garam or Tobacco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gudang Garam's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gudang stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.38
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Gudang Garam Volatility Alert

Gudang Garam Tbk exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.45 and kurtosis of 3.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gudang Garam's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gudang Garam's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gudang Garam Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gudang Garam's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gudang Garam's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gudang Garam and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gudang Garam or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gudang Garam's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gudang Garam by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gudang Garam to competition
FundamentalsGudang GaramPeer Average
Return On Equity0.052-0.31
Return On Asset0.0312-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation34.76 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.92 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders76.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.57 %39.21 %
Price To Earning9.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.65 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.29 X11.42 X
Revenue124.88 T9.43 B
Gross Profit14.11 T27.38 B
EBITDA8.13 T3.9 B
Net Income5.61 T570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.58 T2.7 B
Total Debt122.67 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share29,342 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.33 T971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1,535 X3.12 X
Target Price27800.0
Number Of Employees32.12 K18.84 K
Beta0.5-0.15
Market Capitalization51.28 T19.03 B
Total Asset89.96 T29.47 B
Annual Yield0.0001 %
Net Asset89.96 T
Last Dividend Paid2250.0

Gudang Garam Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gudang . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gudang Garam Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gudang Garam Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as Gudang Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Gudang Garam in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Electronics Thematic Idea Now

Electronics
Electronics Theme
Companies manufacturing electronic appliances and goods. The Electronics theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Electronics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Gudang Garam Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running Gudang Garam's price analysis, check to measure Gudang Garam's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gudang Garam is operating at the current time. Most of Gudang Garam's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gudang Garam's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gudang Garam's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gudang Garam to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Gudang Garam's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gudang Garam is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gudang Garam's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.