GoPro Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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GPRO -- USA Stock  

Report: 6th of August 2020  

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above-average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding GoPro Inc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides GoPro buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GoPro positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of GoPro Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from GoPro buy-and-hold perspective. Please check GoPro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

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Sell GoProBuy GoPro
Strong Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon GoPro Inc has a mean deviation of 3.26, semi deviation of 4.15, standard deviation of 4.48, variance of 20.1, downside variance of 24.87 and semi variance of 17.22
We provide buy, hold, or sell suggestions to complement the regular expert consensus on GoPro. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure GoPro Inc is not overpriced, please check out all GoPro fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and number of employees . Given that GoPro Inc has a number of shares shorted of 9.37 M, we strongly advise you to confirm GoPro Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

GoPro Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

GoPro Inc appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported previous year revenue of 1.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (53.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 412.84 M.
GEN-PROBE INC currently holds about 124.93 M in cash with (27.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.85.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from marketingsentinel.com: After A 12.44 percent Rise This Year Is GoPro, Inc. A Better Buy Than Others - Marketing Sentinel

GoPro current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. GoPro analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. GoPro analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Median Price3.00
Target Mean Price3.88
Recommendation Mean3.20
Target High Price7.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions4
Target Low Price2.50
Average Consensus Sell
The consensus estimates and target price estimation is comprised of individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

GoPro Returns Distribution Density

The chart of the probability distribution of GoPro stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GoPro Inc' stock's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The distribution of GoPro returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GoPro stock.
Mean Return1.09Value At Risk-6.21
Potential Upside8.86Standard Deviation4.48
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GoPro historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Lynrock Lake LpDebt167.1 M148.9 M
Prentice Capital Management LpCommon Shares12.7 M33.2 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares11.4 M29.8 M
Jpmorgan Chase CoCommon Shares9.9 M25.9 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares8.8 M22.9 M
D E Shaw Co IncCommon Shares4.6 M12.1 M
Jacobs Levy Equity Management IncCommon Shares3.1 M8.1 M
State Street CorpCommon SharesM7.8 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options1.6 M4.2 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options1.1 MM

GoPro Cash Flow Accounts

2014201520162017201820192020 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(27.21 M)(51.24 M)(43.63 M)(24.06 M)(11 M)(8.35 M)(9.01 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion17.95 M28.98 M41.64 M41.48 M35.06 M33.26 M31.39 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents218.52 M(40.26 M)(87.56 M)10.39 M(50.41 M)(1.79 M)(1.84 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares300.1 M1.16 M9.66 M(68.25 M)5.17 M5.57 M5.72 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities129.01 M(16 M)(114 M)(3.33 M)169.04 M194.39 M209.74 M
Net Cash Flow from Financing255.5 M15.66 M1.96 M88.59 M(1.48 M)(1.04 M)(1.07 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(133.9 M)(211.98 M)19.29 M(43.1 M)(6.24 M)22.77 M24.57 M
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(102.74 M)(95.33 M)167.27 M(19.04 M)(231 K)31.12 M33.58 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations96.92 M157.61 M(107.75 M)(36.85 M)(42.43 M)(24.44 M)(25.09 M)
Share Based Compensation(5.74 M)51.33 M66.06 M51.26 M40.89 M37.19 M36.65 M

GoPro Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GoPro or Robots And Drones sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GoPro stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GoPro stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
=1.09
β
Beta against DOW=-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
=4.37
Ir
Information ratio =0.21

GoPro Volatility Alert

GoPro Inc exhibits above-average semi-deviation of 4.15 for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate GoPro Inc individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about GoPro future systematic risk.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare GoPro to competition

GoPro Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsGoProPeer Average
Return On Equity(28.62) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(3.53) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(5.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.04) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation852.66 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding128.69 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.90 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions65.67 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted9.37 M4.71 M
Price to Earning(3.86) X28.72 X
Price to Book4.06 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.71 X11.42 X
Revenue1.07 B9.43 B
Gross Profit412.84 M27.38 B
EBITDA(11.12 M)3.9 B
Net Income(53.8 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents124.93 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.85 X5.01 X
Total Debt250.61 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.41 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.74 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(27.74 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.32 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.37) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(2.60) X4.89 X
Number of Employees92618.84 K
Beta1.46-0.15
Market Capitalization764.23 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(599.09 M)9.33 B
Working Capital538.07 M1.48 B
Current Asset833.24 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by Peter Gotcher of 10496 shares of GoPro subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

GoPro Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GoPro . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution378696.647834
Daily Balance Of Power0.1591
Rate Of Daily Change1.014286
Day Median Price5.09
Day Typical Price5.05
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(0.09)

About GoPro Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell GoPro Inc? Buying stocks such as GoPro isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although GoPro investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Receivables112.94 M129.22 M200.63 M165.59 M
Inventories150.55 M116.46 M144.24 M133.39 M

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Please check GoPro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page