Hoteles City (Mexico) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HCITY Stock  MXN 5.04  0.04  0.80%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Hoteles City Express is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Hoteles City buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HCITY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hoteles City's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Hoteles City's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
5.19
Hype Value
5.04
Market Value
5.04
Naive Value
4.86
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hoteles City Express given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hoteles City. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hoteles City Express, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Hoteles City Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hoteles and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hoteles City Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Hoteles City Buy or Sell Advice

The Hoteles recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hoteles City Express. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hoteles City Express or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hoteles City's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hoteles CityBuy Hoteles City
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hoteles City Express has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.17), Total Risk Alpha of (0.56) and Treynor Ratio of (0.27)
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Hoteles City. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Hoteles City Express is not overpriced, please check out all Hoteles City fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the cash flow from operations and market capitalization .

Hoteles City Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hoteles City Express generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hoteles City Express has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 5.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.91, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hoteles City Express has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hoteles City until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hoteles City's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hoteles City Express sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hoteles to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hoteles City's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (396.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 913.26 M.

Hoteles City Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hoteles City's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hoteles City's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hoteles City daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hoteles City Express price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hoteles City returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hoteles City.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-2.55
Potential Upside
2.89
Standard Deviation
1.99
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hoteles City historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hoteles City Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hoteles City or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hoteles City's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hoteles stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Hoteles City Volatility Alert

Hoteles City Express exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.99 and kurtosis of 9.65. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hoteles City's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hoteles City's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hoteles City Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hoteles City's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hoteles City's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hoteles City and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hoteles City or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hoteles City's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hoteles City by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hoteles City to competition
FundamentalsHoteles CityPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0362-0.31
Return On Asset0.0083-0.14
Profit Margin(0.05) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding412.33 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions5.93 %39.21 %
Price To Earning60.87 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.57 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.19 X11.42 X
Revenue2.27 B9.43 B
Gross Profit913.26 M27.38 B
EBITDA584.84 M3.9 B
Net Income(396.35 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents869.36 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.34 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.89 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.91 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.87 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations609.99 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.61) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.40 X4.89 X
Target Price5.0
Number Of Employees3.62 K18.84 K
Beta0.59-0.15
Market Capitalization3.43 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.67 B29.47 B
Net Asset14.67 B

Hoteles City Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hoteles . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hoteles City Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hoteles City Express? Buying financial instruments such as Hoteles Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hoteles City in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Computers Thematic Idea Now

Computers
Computers Theme
Companies that manufacture and distribute personal and business computers. The Computers theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Computers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Hoteles City Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Hoteles City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hoteles City is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hoteles City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.