Heineken (Netherlands) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HEIA Stock  EUR 89.34  0.36  0.40%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Heineken is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Heineken buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Heineken positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Heineken's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Heineken's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
89.59
Hype Value
89.34
Market Value
89.34
Naive Value
90.69
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Heineken given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Heineken. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Heineken, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Heineken Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Heineken and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Heineken. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Heineken Buy or Sell Advice

The Heineken recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Heineken. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Heineken or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Heineken's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell HeinekenBuy Heineken
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Heineken has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.17), Total Risk Alpha of (0.33) and Treynor Ratio of (0.05)
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Heineken to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Heineken. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Heineken is not overpriced, please check out all Heineken fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to earning, and the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Heineken Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Heineken generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 12.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.1, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Heineken has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Heineken until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Heineken's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Heineken sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Heineken to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Heineken's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Heineken shares are held by company insiders

Heineken Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Heineken's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Heineken's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Heineken daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Heineken price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Heineken returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Heineken.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-1.43
Potential Upside
1.83
Standard Deviation
1.24
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Heineken historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Heineken Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Heineken or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Heineken's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Heineken stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Heineken Volatility Alert

Heineken exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.86 and kurtosis of 9.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Heineken's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Heineken's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Heineken Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Heineken's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Heineken's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Heineken and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Heineken or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Heineken's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heineken by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Heineken to competition
FundamentalsHeinekenPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.0458-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation65.35 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding575.6 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders58.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions17.89 %39.21 %
Price To Earning46.86 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.70 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.04 X11.42 X
Revenue21.94 B9.43 B
Gross Profit8.62 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.78 B3.9 B
Net Income3.32 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.97 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.42 X5.01 X
Total Debt12.79 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.09 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.74 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share33.26 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.18 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share6.17 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.70 X4.89 X
Target Price105.6
Number Of Employees85 K18.84 K
Beta0.65-0.15
Market Capitalization53 B19.03 B
Total Asset48.85 B29.47 B
Z Score2.48.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return1.61 %
Net Asset48.85 B

Heineken Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Heineken . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Heineken Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Heineken? Buying financial instruments such as Heineken Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Heineken in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Companies that are involved in the building and marketing of online gaming-related products. The Online Gaming theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Online Gaming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Heineken Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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When running Heineken's price analysis, check to measure Heineken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heineken is operating at the current time. Most of Heineken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heineken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heineken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heineken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Heineken's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heineken is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heineken's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.