Heineken Holding (Netherlands) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HEIO Stock | EUR 75.65 0.25 0.33% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Heineken Holding NV is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Heineken Holding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HEIO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Heineken Holding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Heineken Holding's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 75.25 | Hype Value 75.65 | Market Value 75.65 | Naive Value 76.99 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Heineken Holding NV given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Heineken Holding. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Heineken Holding NV, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Heineken |
Execute Heineken Holding Buy or Sell Advice
The Heineken recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Heineken Holding NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Heineken Holding NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Heineken Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Heineken Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Heineken Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 12.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 109.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Heineken Holding has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Heineken Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Heineken Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Heineken Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Heineken to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Heineken Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 65.0% of Heineken Holding shares are held by company insiders |
Heineken Holding Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Heineken Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Heineken Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Heineken Holding daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Heineken Holding NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Heineken Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Heineken Holding.
| Mean Return | -0.01 | Value At Risk | -1.29 | Potential Upside | 1.86 | Standard Deviation | 1.25 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Heineken Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Heineken Holding Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Heineken Holding or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Heineken Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Heineken stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0065 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Heineken Holding Volatility Alert
Heineken Holding NV exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.43 and kurtosis of 14.33. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Heineken Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Heineken Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Heineken Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Heineken Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Heineken Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Heineken Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Heineken Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Heineken Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heineken Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Heineken Holding to competition |
| Fundamentals | Heineken Holding | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0464 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 34.83 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 288.03 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 64.89 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 20.36 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 27.46 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.23 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 21.94 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 8.62 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 6.78 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.66 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.75 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.08 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 12.79 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 109.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.71 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 32.93 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.18 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.17 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 102.9 | |
| Number Of Employees | 85 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.66 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 22.03 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 48.85 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.77 % | |
| Net Asset | 48.85 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.46 |
Heineken Holding Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Heineken . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Heineken Holding Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Heineken Holding NV? Buying financial instruments such as Heineken Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Heineken Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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When running Heineken Holding's price analysis, check to measure Heineken Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heineken Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Heineken Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heineken Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heineken Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heineken Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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