First Media (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KBLV Stock  IDR 35.00  3.00  7.89%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First Media Tbk is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides First Media buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding KBLV positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of First Media's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting First Media's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
33.6
Hype Value
35
Market Value
35
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell First Media Tbk given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards First Media. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for First Media Tbk, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out First Media Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards First Media Tbk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute First Media Buy or Sell Advice

The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Media Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Media Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Media's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell First MediaBuy First Media
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon First Media Tbk has a Mean Deviation of 2.73, Standard Deviation of 3.73 and Variance of 13.9
First Media advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts reviewing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure First Media is not overpriced, please confirm all First Media Tbk fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, net income, as well as the relationship between the revenue and ebitda .

First Media Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

First Media Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Media Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance
First Media Tbk has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 151.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.39 T) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.71 B.
First Media generates negative cash flow from operations
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

First Media Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of First Media's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Media's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Media daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Media Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Media returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Media.
Mean Return
-1.06
Value At Risk
-8.7
Potential Upside
4.35
Standard Deviation
3.73
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Media historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

First Media Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Media or Diversified Telecommunication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Media's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.0041
σ
Overall volatility
3.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

First Media Volatility Alert

First Media Tbk exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.33 and kurtosis of 0.75. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Media's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Media's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

First Media Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing First Media's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Media's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Media and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Media or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Media's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Media by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare First Media to competition
FundamentalsFirst MediaPeer Average
Return On Equity-3.05-0.31
Return On Asset0.0954-0.14
Operating Margin4.70 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(703.94 B)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.74 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders66.79 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.29 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.35 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.31 X11.42 X
Revenue151.8 B9.43 B
Gross Profit61.71 B27.38 B
EBITDA(1.02 T)3.9 B
Net Income(1.39 T)570.98 M
Total Debt95.71 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share288.36 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(384.63 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(815.24) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees37118.84 K
Beta-0.41-0.15
Market Capitalization149.83 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.59 T29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Net Asset4.59 T

First Media Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About First Media Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell First Media Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having First Media in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now

Consumption
Consumption Theme
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 18 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out First Media Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running First Media's price analysis, check to measure First Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Media is operating at the current time. Most of First Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between First Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.