Kencana Energi (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| KEEN Stock | IDR 705.00 5.00 0.70% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Kencana Energi Lestari is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Kencana Energi buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding KEEN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Kencana Energi's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Kencana Energi's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 740 | Hype Value 705 | Market Value 705 | Naive Value 684.64 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kencana Energi Lestari given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Kencana Energi. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kencana Energi Lestari, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Kencana |
Execute Kencana Energi Buy or Sell Advice
The Kencana recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kencana Energi Lestari. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kencana Energi Lestari or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kencana Energi's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Kencana Energi Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Kencana Energi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 79.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Kencana Energi Lestari has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kencana Energi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kencana Energi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kencana Energi Lestari sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kencana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kencana Energi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Kencana Energi Lestari has accumulated about 1.37 M in cash with (786.77 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 93.0% of Kencana Energi outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kencana Energi Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Kencana Energi's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kencana Energi's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kencana Energi daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kencana Energi Lestari price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kencana Energi returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kencana Energi.
| Mean Return | -0.14 | Value At Risk | -2.56 | Potential Upside | 4.32 | Standard Deviation | 1.96 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kencana Energi historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Kencana Energi Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kencana Energi or Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kencana Energi's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kencana stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Kencana Energi Volatility Alert
Kencana Energi Lestari exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.34 and kurtosis of 2.86. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kencana Energi's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kencana Energi's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Kencana Energi Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Kencana Energi's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kencana Energi's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kencana Energi and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kencana Energi or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kencana Energi's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kencana Energi by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Kencana Energi to competition |
| Fundamentals | Kencana Energi | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0915 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0474 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.62 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.58 T | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.67 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 92.76 % | 10.09 % |
| Price To Book | 0.97 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 60,585 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 36.55 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 21.19 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 18.39 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 6.67 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.37 M | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 79.89 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.59 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.52 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.04 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (786.77 K) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 51.62 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 1387.89 | |
| Number Of Employees | 102 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.4 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.96 T | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 300.78 M | 29.47 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 300.78 M |
Kencana Energi Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kencana . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 57937.76 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 707.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 706.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 19.85 |
About Kencana Energi Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Kencana Energi Lestari? Buying financial instruments such as Kencana Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Kencana Energi in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Kencana Energi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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When running Kencana Energi's price analysis, check to measure Kencana Energi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kencana Energi is operating at the current time. Most of Kencana Energi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kencana Energi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kencana Energi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kencana Energi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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