MercadoLibre (Mexico) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MELIN Stock  MXN 23,580  270.01  1.13%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding MercadoLibre is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides MercadoLibre buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MELIN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of MercadoLibre's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting MercadoLibre's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
21.4 K
Hype Value
23.6 K
Market Value
23.6 K
Naive Value
22.4 K
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell MercadoLibre given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards MercadoLibre. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for MercadoLibre, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out MercadoLibre Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in MercadoLibre Stock, please use our How to Invest in MercadoLibre guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MercadoLibre and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards MercadoLibre. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute MercadoLibre Buy or Sell Advice

The MercadoLibre recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MercadoLibre. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MercadoLibre or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MercadoLibre's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MercadoLibreBuy MercadoLibre
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon MercadoLibre has a Mean Deviation of 1.47, Standard Deviation of 2.18 and Variance of 4.76
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on MercadoLibre to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on MercadoLibre. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure MercadoLibre is not overpriced, please verify all MercadoLibre fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the ebitda and price to earnings to growth .

MercadoLibre Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

MercadoLibre generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

MercadoLibre Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of MercadoLibre's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MercadoLibre's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MercadoLibre daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MercadoLibre price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MercadoLibre returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MercadoLibre.
Mean Return
-0.24
Value At Risk
-2.97
Potential Upside
2.72
Standard Deviation
2.18
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MercadoLibre historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

MercadoLibre Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MercadoLibre or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MercadoLibre's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MercadoLibre stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.64
σ
Overall volatility
2.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

MercadoLibre Volatility Alert

MercadoLibre exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.2 and kurtosis of 6.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MercadoLibre's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MercadoLibre's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

MercadoLibre Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing MercadoLibre's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MercadoLibre's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MercadoLibre and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MercadoLibre or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MercadoLibre's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MercadoLibre by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare MercadoLibre to competition
FundamentalsMercadoLibrePeer Average
Return On Equity0.31-0.31
Return On Asset0.048-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation891.4 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding49.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders8.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions87.46 %39.21 %
Price To Book26.45 X9.51 X
Price To Sales85.61 X11.42 X
Revenue7.07 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.57 B27.38 B
EBITDA673.27 M3.9 B
Net Income83.3 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.57 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share51.67 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.23 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity42.00 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.54 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share32.43 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations965.04 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share74.02 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.87 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees29.96 K18.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization1.03 T19.03 B
Total Asset10.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings464 M9.33 B
Working Capital219 M1.48 B
Current Asset605 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities386 M7.9 B
Net Asset10.1 B

MercadoLibre Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MercadoLibre . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About MercadoLibre Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell MercadoLibre? Buying financial instruments such as MercadoLibre Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having MercadoLibre in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Hotels Thematic Idea Now

Hotels
Hotels Theme
Hotels, inns, motels, and other companies providing lodging and hospitality services. The Hotels theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hotels Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether MercadoLibre offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MercadoLibre's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mercadolibre Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mercadolibre Stock:
Check out MercadoLibre Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in MercadoLibre Stock, please use our How to Invest in MercadoLibre guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running MercadoLibre's price analysis, check to measure MercadoLibre's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MercadoLibre is operating at the current time. Most of MercadoLibre's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MercadoLibre's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MercadoLibre's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MercadoLibre to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between MercadoLibre's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MercadoLibre is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MercadoLibre's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.