Aura Minerals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ORA Stock  CAD 10.77  0.05  0.47%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Aura Minerals is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Aura Minerals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ORA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aura Minerals' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aura Minerals' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
12.13
Hype Value
10.76
Market Value
10.77
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aura Minerals given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aura Minerals. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aura Minerals, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aura Minerals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aura and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aura Minerals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Aura Minerals Buy or Sell Advice

The Aura recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aura Minerals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aura Minerals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aura Minerals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aura MineralsBuy Aura Minerals
Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Aura Minerals has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1172, Jensen Alpha of 0.2577, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1417, Sortino Ratio of 0.1503 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3351
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Aura Minerals and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Aura Minerals is not overpriced, please confirm all Aura Minerals fundamentals, including its price to sales, cash per share, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and current ratio .

Aura Minerals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aura Minerals Grows Reserves As Gold Hits Record Highs - Aura Minerals - Benzinga

Aura Minerals Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aura Minerals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aura Minerals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aura Minerals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aura Minerals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aura Minerals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aura Minerals.
Mean Return
0.32
Value At Risk
-2.67
Potential Upside
3.42
Standard Deviation
1.80
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aura Minerals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aura Minerals Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Other Non Cash Items28.3M19.5M26.1M(19.1M)23.6M26.4M
Capital Expenditures25.8M52.0M79.5M103.4M118.3M124.2M
Net Income24.9M68.5M43.5M66.5M31.9M33.5M
Change In Cash(259K)78.9M43.7M(33.6M)58.5M61.4M
Free Cash Flow10.6M38.4M51.7M(7.0M)19.6M20.6M
End Period Cash Flow10.2M117.8M161.5M127.9M175.7M184.5M
Depreciation22.8M9.8M37.8M19.8M23.6M21.3M
Change To Inventory883K(10.2M)(8.9M)13.5M(9.8M)(10.3M)
Net Borrowings11.2M(3.4M)79.7M64.8M74.5M78.3M
Change To Netincome(5.8M)4.1M84.8M(16.2M)(14.6M)(13.9M)
Investments(15.4M)(51.1M)(78.2M)(157.5M)(118.1M)(112.2M)

Aura Minerals Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aura Minerals or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aura Minerals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aura stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.26
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Aura Minerals Volatility Alert

Aura Minerals has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.59 and kurtosis of 1.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aura Minerals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aura Minerals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aura Minerals Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aura Minerals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aura Minerals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aura Minerals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aura Minerals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aura Minerals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aura Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aura Minerals to competition
FundamentalsAura MineralsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0614-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.25 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation912.94 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding72.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders53.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.61 K4.71 M
Price To Earning43.94 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.88 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.95 X11.42 X
Revenue416.89 M9.43 B
Gross Profit125.69 M27.38 B
EBITDA119.54 M3.9 B
Net Income31.88 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents127.9 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt253.29 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.08 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.36 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations137.88 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.61 X3.12 X
Target Price14.01
Beta0.44-0.15
Market Capitalization777.99 M19.03 B
Total Asset923.82 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(401.47 M)9.33 B
Working Capital181.54 M1.48 B
Current Asset55.33 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities60.74 M7.9 B

Aura Minerals Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aura . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aura Minerals Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aura Minerals? Buying financial instruments such as Aura Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Current Liabilities146.6M161.1M197.4M207.3M
Other Current Liabilities43.0M28.7M2.1M2.0M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aura Minerals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Health Management Thematic Idea Now

Health Management
Health Management Theme
Major hospitals and healthcare providers. The Health Management theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Health Management Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Aura Minerals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Aura Minerals information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aura Minerals' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Aura Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aura Minerals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aura Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.