Procter Gamble Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PG Stock  USD 162.25  0.36  0.22%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Procter Gamble is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Procter Gamble buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Procter Gamble's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Procter Gamble's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
171.11
Target Price
155.36
Hype Value
162.57
Market Value
162.25
Naive Value
160.81
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Procter Gamble given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Procter Gamble. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Procter Gamble, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Procter Gamble Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Procter Stock please use our How to Invest in Procter Gamble guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Procter and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Procter Gamble. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Procter Gamble Buy or Sell Advice

The Procter recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Procter Gamble. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Procter Gamble or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Procter Gamble's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Procter GambleBuy Procter Gamble
Strong Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Procter Gamble has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1388, Jensen Alpha of 0.133, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0065, Sortino Ratio of 0.1114 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4466
Macroaxis provides advice on Procter Gamble to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Procter Gamble. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Procter Gamble is not overpriced, please check all Procter Gamble fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Procter Gamble has a price to book of 8.02 X, we recommend you to check out Procter Gamble market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Procter Gamble Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reports 34.61 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Procter Gamble has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Procter Gamble until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Procter Gamble's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Procter Gamble sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Procter to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Procter Gamble's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 68.0% of Procter Gamble shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of February 2024 Procter Gamble paid $ 0.9407 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Bath Soaps Market to Reach 34.9 Billion by 2030

Procter Gamble Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Procter Gamble's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Procter Gamble's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Procter Gamble daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Procter Gamble price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Procter Gamble returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Procter Gamble.
Mean Return
0.19
Value At Risk
-0.77
Potential Upside
1.30
Standard Deviation
0.79
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Procter Gamble historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Procter Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Procter Gamble is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Procter Gamble backward and forwards among themselves. Procter Gamble's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Procter Gamble's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
24.7 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
21.5 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
20.6 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
20.5 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
17.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
16.2 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2023-12-31
15.8 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
15.3 M
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
15.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
224.9 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
155.8 M
Note, although Procter Gamble's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Procter Gamble Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(637M)(309M)(1.2B)(119M)(107.1M)(112.5M)
Change In Cash11.9B(5.9B)(3.1B)1.0B1.2B1.2B
Free Cash Flow14.3B15.6B13.6B13.8B15.9B8.4B
Depreciation3.0B2.7B2.8B2.7B3.1B2.5B
Dividends Paid7.8B8.3B8.8B9.0B10.3B10.9B
Capital Expenditures3.1B2.8B3.2B3.1B3.5B3.0B
Net Income13.1B14.4B14.8B14.7B16.9B17.8B
End Period Cash Flow16.2B10.3B7.2B8.2B9.5B5.1B
Other Non Cash Items115M631M144M524M602.6M447.6M
Investments3.0B(55M)3M(3.5B)(4.0B)(3.8B)
Net Borrowings4.8B(3.9B)1.9B2.9B3.4B3.5B
Change To Netincome153M959M321M616M708.4M743.8M

Procter Gamble Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Procter Gamble or Household Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Procter Gamble's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Procter stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Procter Gamble Volatility Alert

Procter Gamble exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.12 and kurtosis of 8.74. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Procter Gamble's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Procter Gamble's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Procter Gamble Implied Volatility

Procter Gamble's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Procter Gamble stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Procter Gamble's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Procter Gamble stock will not fluctuate a lot when Procter Gamble's options are near their expiration.

Procter Gamble Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Procter Gamble's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Procter Gamble's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Procter Gamble and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Procter Gamble or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Procter Gamble's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Procter Gamble by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Procter Gamble to competition
FundamentalsProcter GamblePeer Average
Return On Equity0.32-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.27 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation409.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.35 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions67.63 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted17.9 M4.71 M
Price To Earning25.21 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.02 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.56 X11.42 X
Revenue82.01 B9.43 B
Gross Profit39.25 B27.38 B
EBITDA21.82 B3.9 B
Net Income14.74 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents8.25 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.83 X5.01 X
Total Debt34.61 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.74 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.62 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.28 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations16.85 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.97 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.44 X4.89 X
Target Price169.8
Number Of Employees107 K18.84 K
Beta0.43-0.15
Market Capitalization382.62 B19.03 B
Total Asset120.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings118.17 B9.33 B
Working Capital(13.11 B)1.48 B
Note: Procter Gamble exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Procter Gamble Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Procter . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Procter Gamble Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Procter Gamble? Buying financial instruments such as Procter Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total31.5B34.6B39.8B22.3B
Total Assets117.2B120.8B139.0B84.3B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Procter Gamble in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Communication Thematic Idea Now

Communication
Communication Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Communication theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Communication Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Procter Gamble is a strong investment it is important to analyze Procter Gamble's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Procter Gamble's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Procter Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Procter Gamble Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Procter Stock please use our How to Invest in Procter Gamble guide.
Note that the Procter Gamble information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Procter Gamble's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for Procter Stock analysis

When running Procter Gamble's price analysis, check to measure Procter Gamble's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Procter Gamble is operating at the current time. Most of Procter Gamble's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Procter Gamble's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Procter Gamble's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Procter Gamble to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Procter Gamble's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Procter Gamble. If investors know Procter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Procter Gamble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Dividend Share
3.735
Earnings Share
5.97
Revenue Per Share
35.567
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.032
The market value of Procter Gamble is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Procter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Procter Gamble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Procter Gamble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Procter Gamble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Procter Gamble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Procter Gamble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Procter Gamble is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Procter Gamble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.