Tugcelik Aluminyum (Turkey) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TUCLK Stock  TRY 11.60  0.10  0.85%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Tugcelik Aluminyum buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TUCLK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Tugcelik Aluminyum's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Tugcelik Aluminyum's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
10.2
Hype Value
11.6
Market Value
11.6
Naive Value
12.09
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Tugcelik Aluminyum. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Tugcelik Aluminyum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tugcelik and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Tugcelik Aluminyum Buy or Sell Advice

The Tugcelik recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tugcelik Aluminyum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Tugcelik AluminyumBuy Tugcelik Aluminyum
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0406, Jensen Alpha of 0.1439, Total Risk Alpha of (0.58), Sortino Ratio of 0.0226 and Treynor Ratio of 0.5143
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Tugcelik Aluminyum and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Tugcelik Aluminyum is not overpriced, please validate all Tugcelik Aluminyum fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and market capitalization .

Tugcelik Aluminyum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Tugcelik Aluminyum had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 79.92 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tugcelik Aluminyum has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tugcelik Aluminyum until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tugcelik Aluminyum's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tugcelik Aluminyum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tugcelik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tugcelik Aluminyum's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve has accumulated about 32.51 M in cash with (124.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.08.
Roughly 38.0% of Tugcelik Aluminyum outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tugcelik Aluminyum Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tugcelik Aluminyum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tugcelik Aluminyum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tugcelik Aluminyum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tugcelik Aluminyum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tugcelik Aluminyum.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-4.77
Potential Upside
6.80
Standard Deviation
3.45
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tugcelik Aluminyum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tugcelik Aluminyum Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tugcelik Aluminyum or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tugcelik Aluminyum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tugcelik stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.37
σ
Overall volatility
3.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Tugcelik Aluminyum Volatility Alert

Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tugcelik Aluminyum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tugcelik Aluminyum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tugcelik Aluminyum Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tugcelik Aluminyum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tugcelik Aluminyum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tugcelik Aluminyum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tugcelik Aluminyum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tugcelik Aluminyum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tugcelik Aluminyum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tugcelik Aluminyum to competition
FundamentalsTugcelik AluminyumPeer Average
Return On Equity0.47-0.31
Return On Asset0.0704-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.7 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding30 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders37.66 %10.09 %
Price To Earning55.58 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.14 X11.42 X
Revenue323.93 M9.43 B
Gross Profit65.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA98.37 M3.9 B
Net Income76.16 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents32.51 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.08 X5.01 X
Total Debt79.92 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.92 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(124.02 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.44 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees39518.84 K
Beta0.65-0.15
Market Capitalization822.6 M19.03 B
Total Asset663.82 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings14 M9.33 B
Working Capital30 M1.48 B
Current Asset75 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities45 M7.9 B
Z Score6.08.72
Net Asset663.82 M

Tugcelik Aluminyum Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tugcelik . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tugcelik Aluminyum Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tugcelik Aluminyum Ve? Buying financial instruments such as Tugcelik Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Tugcelik Aluminyum in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Banking Thematic Idea Now

Banking
Banking Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Banking theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banking Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Tugcelik Aluminyum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tugcelik Aluminyum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tugcelik Aluminyum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tugcelik Aluminyum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.