Umpas Holding (Turkey) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UMPAS Stock | TRY 10.67 0.03 0.28% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Umpas Holding AS is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Umpas Holding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UMPAS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Umpas Holding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Umpas Holding's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 9 | Hype Value 10.67 | Market Value 10.67 | Naive Value 10.18 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Umpas Holding AS given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Umpas Holding. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Umpas Holding AS, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Umpas |
Execute Umpas Holding Buy or Sell Advice
The Umpas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Umpas Holding AS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Umpas Holding AS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Umpas Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Umpas Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Umpas Holding AS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Umpas Holding AS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Umpas Holding AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Umpas Holding AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 103.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 159.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Umpas Holding AS has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Umpas Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Umpas Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Umpas Holding AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Umpas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Umpas Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 20.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 231.61 K. |
Umpas Holding Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Umpas Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Umpas Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Umpas Holding daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Umpas Holding AS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Umpas Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Umpas Holding.
| Mean Return | 0.62 | Value At Risk | -9.22 | Potential Upside | 9.99 | Standard Deviation | 5.90 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Umpas Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Umpas Holding Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Umpas Holding or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Umpas Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Umpas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Umpas Holding Volatility Alert
Umpas Holding AS exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Umpas Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Umpas Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Umpas Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Umpas Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Umpas Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Umpas Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Umpas Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Umpas Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Umpas Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Umpas Holding to competition |
| Fundamentals | Umpas Holding | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -4.87 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0935 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.06) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (1.14) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 210.94 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 42 M | 571.82 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.65 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.38 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.37 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 20.4 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 231.61 K | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (20.81 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (51.82 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.15 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.05 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 103.47 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 159.00 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.74 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (1.96) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 997.86 K | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.23) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 7 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.56 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 153.72 M | 19.03 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.1 % |
Umpas Holding Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Umpas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Umpas Holding Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Umpas Holding AS? Buying financial instruments such as Umpas Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Umpas Holding in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Russia On Wall Street Thematic Idea Now
Russia On Wall Street
Cross-sector and cross-instrument bundle of publicly traded Russian entities that are expected to be listed on USA exchanges or over the counter. The Russia On Wall Street theme has 23 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Russia On Wall Street Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Umpas Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Umpas Stock analysis
When running Umpas Holding's price analysis, check to measure Umpas Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Umpas Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Umpas Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Umpas Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Umpas Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Umpas Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios |