Vipshop Holdings Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VIPS Stock  USD 16.55  0.09  0.55%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vipshop Holdings Limited is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Vipshop Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VIPS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vipshop Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vipshop Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
17.7
Target Price
18.72
Hype Value
16.51
Market Value
16.55
Naive Value
16.34
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vipshop Holdings Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vipshop Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vipshop Holdings Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vipshop Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vipshop and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vipshop Holdings Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Vipshop Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Vipshop recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vipshop Holdings Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vipshop Holdings Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vipshop Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vipshop HoldingsBuy Vipshop Holdings
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Vipshop Holdings Limited has a Mean Deviation of 2.07, Semi Deviation of 2.44, Standard Deviation of 3.01, Variance of 9.09, Downside Variance of 6.19 and Semi Variance of 5.97
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vipshop Holdings and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Vipshop Holdings is not overpriced, please validate all Vipshop Holdings fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Vipshop Holdings has a price to earning of 7.31 X, we advise you to double-check Vipshop Holdings Limited market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vipshop Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vipshop Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Vipshop Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: HSBC cuts Vipshop stock target, maintains hold rating

Vipshop Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vipshop Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vipshop Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vipshop Holdings Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vipshop Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vipshop Holdings.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-3.98
Potential Upside
4.38
Standard Deviation
3.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vipshop Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vipshop Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vipshop Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vipshop Holdings Limited backward and forwards among themselves. Vipshop Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vipshop Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
5.2 M
Orbis Allan Gray Ltd2023-12-31
4.9 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
4.3 M
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2023-12-31
M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
M
Prudential Corp Plc2023-12-31
3.9 M
Schroder Investment Management Group2023-12-31
3.8 M
Clark Capital Management Group Inc2023-12-31
3.5 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
20.8 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
20.1 M
Note, although Vipshop Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vipshop Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.6B)(527.2M)917.4M1.5B1.7B1.8B
Change In Cash(2.3B)5.1B4.4B5.9B6.8B7.2B
Free Cash Flow8.0B9.5B3.2B7.4B8.5B9.0B
Depreciation950.5M1.1B1.3B1.4B1.6B1.7B
Other Non Cash Items302.1M353.5M675.7M435.9M501.2M526.3M
Capital Expenditures4.3B2.3B3.6B3.1B3.6B2.2B
Net Income4.0B5.9B4.7B6.3B7.3B7.6B
End Period Cash Flow7.7B12.8B17.2B23.1B26.6B27.9B
Investments(8.2B)(5.3B)976.1M1.0B944.2M991.4M
Net Borrowings(6.2B)(145.5M)944.3M541.0M486.9M511.3M
Change To Netincome2.3B1.1B1.5B1.6B1.8B1.2B

Vipshop Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vipshop Holdings or Internet & Direct Marketing Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vipshop Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vipshop stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.16
σ
Overall volatility
3.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Vipshop Holdings Volatility Alert

Vipshop Holdings Limited currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.03 and Jensen Alpha of -0.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vipshop Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vipshop Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vipshop Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vipshop Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vipshop Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vipshop Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vipshop Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vipshop Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vipshop Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vipshop Holdings to competition
FundamentalsVipshop HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.23-0.31
Return On Asset0.0826-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding542.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions69.67 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.33 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.31 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.08 X11.42 X
Revenue103.15 B9.43 B
Gross Profit21.62 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.96 B3.9 B
Net Income6.31 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents20.41 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share32.11 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.66 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.07 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.29 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share68.16 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations10.52 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.73 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.00 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth32.44 X4.89 X
Target Price22.17
Beta0.43-0.15
Market Capitalization9.03 B19.03 B
Total Asset65.48 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings28.72 B9.33 B
Working Capital5.21 B1.48 B
Current Asset12.15 B9.34 B

Vipshop Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vipshop . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vipshop Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vipshop Holdings Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Vipshop Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Non Currrent Assets Other296.4M91.8M105.5M100.2M
Non Current Assets Total29.4B31.7B36.5B38.3B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vipshop Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Agriculture
Agriculture Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Agriculture theme has 31 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Agriculture Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Vipshop Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vipshop Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vipshop Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vipshop Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Vipshop Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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Is Vipshop Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vipshop Holdings. If investors know Vipshop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vipshop Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.461
Dividend Share
3.049
Earnings Share
2
Revenue Per Share
203.903
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.092
The market value of Vipshop Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vipshop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vipshop Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vipshop Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vipshop Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vipshop Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vipshop Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vipshop Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vipshop Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.