Vipshop Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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VIPS -- USA Stock  

Last Earning Announcement: 31st of March 2016  

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above-average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Vipshop Holdings Limited is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Vipshop Holdings buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VIPS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vipshop Holdings available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from VIPS buy-and-hold perspective. Also please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

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Sell Vipshop HoldingsBuy Vipshop Holdings
Buy

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

For the selected time horizon Vipshop Holdings Limited has a risk adjusted performance of 0.3463, jensen alpha of 0.6788, total risk alpha of 0.4016, sortino ratio of 0.1821 and treynor ratio of 1.45
Our buy or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Vipshop Holdings. Our recommendation engine harnesses analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Vipshop Holdings is not overpriced, please validate all Vipshop Holdings fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and beta . Given that Vipshop Holdings has a price to earning of 46.89 X, we advise you to double-check Vipshop Holdings Limited market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vipshop Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vipshop Holdings appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Vipshop Holdings current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vipshop analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vipshop analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Median Price140.35
Target Mean Price143.11
Recommendation Mean2.00
Target High Price176.76
Number Of Analyst Opinions24
Target Low Price114.54
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation is comprised of individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Vipshop Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The chart of the probability distribution of Vipshop Holdings stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vipshop Holdings Limited' stock's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The distribution of Vipshop Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vipshop Holdings stock.
Mean Return0.77Value At Risk-4.82
Potential Upside7.51Standard Deviation4.16
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vipshop Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Confluence Investment Management LlcCommon Shares22.4 K445 K
Blackrock IncCommon Shares21.6 M336.4 M
Acadian Asset Management LlcCommon Shares21.1 M329.2 M
Wells Fargo CompanyCommon Shares16.7 M260.1 M
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares16.7 M260.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares16.2 M251.8 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares10.7 M166.5 M

Vipshop Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vipshop Holdings or Diversified Wholesale And Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vipshop Holdings stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vipshop stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.68
β
Beta against DOW=0.52
σ
Overall volatility
=3.98
Ir
Information ratio =0.15

Vipshop Holdings Volatility Alert

Vipshop Holdings Limited shows above-average downside volatility of 3.31 for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Vipshop Holdings Limited further and to ensure all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with estimation about Vipshop Holdings future alpha.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vipshop Holdings to competition

Vipshop Holdings Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsVipshop HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity18.30 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset8.59 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin4.23 %(1.27) %
Current Valuation14.93 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding672.42 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders8.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions58.71 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted21.36 M4.71 M
Price to Earning46.89 X28.72 X
Price to Book5.98 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.35 X11.42 X
Revenue12.55 B9.43 B
Gross Profit20.68 B27.38 B
EBITDA515.81 M3.9 B
Net Income321.22 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.23 B2.7 B
Cash per Share1.85 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.14 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.17 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.78 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations155.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.86 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.48 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.01 X4.89 X
Number of Employees20.44 K18.84 K
Beta1.15-0.15
Market Capitalization15.2 B19.03 B
Total Asset20.04 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.62 B9.33 B
Working Capital(12.68 M)1.48 B
Current Asset12.15 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities12.17 B7.9 B

Vipshop Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vipshop . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution164507.678729
Daily Balance Of Power0.625
Rate Of Daily Change1.018018
Day Median Price22.34
Day Typical Price22.426667
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator0.46

About Vipshop Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vipshop Holdings Limited? Buying stocks such as Vipshop Holdings isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although Vipshop Holdings investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Also please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and etfs to find investment opportunities.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page