Wayfair Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

W Stock  USD 67.59  2.83  4.37%   
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Wayfair is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Wayfair buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Wayfair positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Wayfair's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Wayfair's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
68.88
Target Price
84.93
Hype Value
67.63
Market Value
67.59
Naive Value
63.73
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Wayfair given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Wayfair. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Wayfair, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Wayfair Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Wayfair Stock please use our How to Invest in Wayfair guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Wayfair and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Wayfair. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Execute Wayfair Buy or Sell Advice

The Wayfair recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Wayfair. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Wayfair or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Wayfair's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell WayfairBuy Wayfair
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Wayfair has a Mean Deviation of 2.91, Semi Deviation of 3.31, Standard Deviation of 3.84, Variance of 14.73, Downside Variance of 11.99 and Semi Variance of 10.93
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade advice on Wayfair that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Wayfair. Our recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Wayfair is not overpriced, please check out all Wayfair fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, beta, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and price to earnings to growth . Given that Wayfair has a price to earning of 18.33 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Wayfair market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Wayfair Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Wayfair had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the annual revenue of 12 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (738 M) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.42 B.
Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Cintas Reports Upbeat Earnings, Joins PaySign, Noah Holdings And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Wednesday

Wayfair Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Wayfair's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Wayfair's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Wayfair daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Wayfair price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Wayfair returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Wayfair.
Mean Return
0.06
Value At Risk
-5.77
Potential Upside
8.19
Standard Deviation
3.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Wayfair historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Wayfair Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Wayfair is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wayfair backward and forwards among themselves. Wayfair's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Wayfair's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bares Capital Management Inc2023-09-30
2.3 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
1.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
1.9 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
1.6 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2023-09-30
1.5 M
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
1.5 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
1.4 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.3 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
13.8 M
Capital World Investors2023-12-31
12 M
Note, although Wayfair's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Wayfair Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(15.6M)9.9M(17M)(21M)16M16.8M
Change In Cash(266.7M)1.5B(424M)(656M)272M285.6M
Free Cash Flow(597.7M)1.1B130M(1.1B)(2M)(2.1M)
Depreciation192.4M285.7M322M371M417M437.9M
Other Non Cash Items60.4M146.9M13M(8M)49M27.0M
Capital Expenditures400.9M334.4M280M458M351M226.2M
Net Income(984.6M)185.0M(131M)(1.3B)(738M)(701.1M)
End Period Cash Flow582.8M2.1B1.7B1.1B1.3B853.6M
Investments(438.4M)98.5M(240M)1M182M191.1M
Net Borrowings562.0M934.4M987.4M171M153.9M146.2M
Change To Netincome225.8M288.8M362M497M571.6M600.1M
Change Receivables(49.2M)(14.7M)(118M)(48M)(43.2M)(45.4M)

Wayfair Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Wayfair or Internet & Direct Marketing Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Wayfair's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Wayfair stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.4
β
Beta against NYSE Composite3.58
σ
Overall volatility
3.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Wayfair Volatility Alert

Wayfair shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Wayfair's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Wayfair's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Wayfair Implied Volatility

Wayfair's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wayfair stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wayfair's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wayfair stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wayfair's options are near their expiration.

Wayfair Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Wayfair's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Wayfair's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Wayfair and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Wayfair or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Wayfair's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wayfair by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Wayfair to competition
FundamentalsWayfairPeer Average
Return On Asset-0.13-0.14
Profit Margin(0.06) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.06) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.65 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding94.67 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.10 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted22.48 M4.71 M
Price To Earning18.33 X28.72 X
Price To Sales0.69 X11.42 X
Revenue12 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.42 B27.38 B
EBITDA(317 M)3.9 B
Net Income(738 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.05 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share12.02 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.95 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.33 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.02 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(22.91) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations349 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(6.47) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth23.50 X4.89 X
Target Price66.53
Number Of Employees12.8 K18.84 K
Beta3.28-0.15
Market Capitalization8.26 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.47 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(4.02 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(328 M)1.48 B
Current Asset492.32 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities397.03 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 2894 shares by Thomas Netzer of Wayfair at 55.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Wayfair Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Wayfair . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Wayfair Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Wayfair? Buying financial instruments such as Wayfair Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities642M529M504M294.4M
Total Assets4.6B3.6B3.5B2.3B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Wayfair in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run FinTech Thematic Idea Now

FinTech
FinTech Theme
High long term potential financial entities that are ranging from payment processing, investment management to commercial and investment banking. The FinTech theme has 81 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize FinTech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Wayfair is a strong investment it is important to analyze Wayfair's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Wayfair's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Wayfair Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Wayfair Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Wayfair Stock please use our How to Invest in Wayfair guide.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Wayfair's price analysis, check to measure Wayfair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wayfair is operating at the current time. Most of Wayfair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wayfair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wayfair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wayfair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wayfair's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wayfair. If investors know Wayfair will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wayfair listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Earnings Share
(6.47)
Revenue Per Share
105.289
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.004
Return On Assets
(0.13)
The market value of Wayfair is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wayfair that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wayfair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wayfair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wayfair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wayfair's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wayfair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wayfair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wayfair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.