Chevron Corp Stock Market Value
CVX Stock | USD 162.85 0.93 0.57% |
Symbol | Chevron |
Chevron Corp Price To Book Ratio
Is Chevron Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chevron Corp. If investors know Chevron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chevron Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Dividend Share 6.04 | Earnings Share 11.37 | Revenue Per Share 104.004 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Chevron Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chevron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chevron Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chevron Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chevron Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chevron Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chevron Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chevron Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chevron Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Chevron Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chevron Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chevron Corp.
03/25/2024 |
| 04/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Chevron Corp on March 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chevron Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chevron Corp over 30 days. Chevron Corp is related to or competes with Shell PLC, and Petróleo Brasileiro. Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in integrated energy and chemicals operations worldwide More
Chevron Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chevron Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chevron Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 1.03 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.1267 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 5.97 | |||
Value At Risk | (1.79) | |||
Potential Upside | 1.99 |
Chevron Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chevron Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chevron Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chevron Corp historical prices to predict the future Chevron Corp's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1343 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.1736 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.0772 | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.1298 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.429 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chevron Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chevron Corp Backtested Returns
We consider Chevron Corp very steady. Chevron Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Chevron Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Chevron Corp's risk adjusted performance of 0.1343, and Mean Deviation of 0.748 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. Chevron Corp has a performance score of 13 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.5, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Chevron Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chevron Corp is expected to be smaller as well. Chevron Corp right now shows a risk of 1.02%. Please confirm Chevron Corp potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Chevron Corp will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.3 |
Weak reverse predictability
Chevron Corp has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chevron Corp time series from 25th of March 2024 to 9th of April 2024 and 9th of April 2024 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chevron Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Chevron Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.3 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.1 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 5.98 |
Chevron Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Chevron Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chevron Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chevron Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chevron Corp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Chevron Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chevron Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chevron Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chevron Corp stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Chevron Corp Lagged Returns
When evaluating Chevron Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chevron Corp stock have on its future price. Chevron Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chevron Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chevron Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chevron Corp.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Pair Trading with Chevron Corp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Chevron Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chevron Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Chevron Stock
0.88 | BP | BP PLC ADR Financial Report 7th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
0.85 | SU | Suncor Energy Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Chevron Stock
0.69 | EP | Empire Petroleum Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Chevron Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Chevron Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Chevron Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Chevron Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Chevron Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Chevron Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Chevron Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Chevron Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Chevron Corp Correlation, Chevron Corp Volatility and Chevron Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chevron Corp. For more information on how to buy Chevron Stock please use our How to Invest in Chevron Corp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for Chevron Stock analysis
When running Chevron Corp's price analysis, check to measure Chevron Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chevron Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Chevron Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chevron Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chevron Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chevron Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Chevron Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.