Farmer Bros Co Stock Market Value

FARM Stock  USD 3.57  0.07  2.00%   
Farmer Bros' market value is the price at which a share of Farmer Bros trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Farmer Bros Co investors about its performance. Farmer Bros is selling at 3.57 as of the 29th of March 2024; that is 2.00% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Farmer Bros Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Farmer Bros over a given investment horizon. Check out Farmer Bros Correlation, Farmer Bros Volatility and Farmer Bros Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Farmer Bros.
Symbol

Farmer Bros Price To Book Ratio

Is Farmer Bros' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmer Bros. If investors know Farmer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmer Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.14)
Revenue Per Share
16.889
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.35)
The market value of Farmer Bros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmer Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmer Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmer Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmer Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmer Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmer Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmer Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Farmer Bros 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Farmer Bros' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Farmer Bros.
0.00
04/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
03/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Farmer Bros on April 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Farmer Bros Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Farmer Bros over 360 days. Farmer Bros is related to or competes with Natural Alternatives, Natures Sunshine, Nocera, Borealis Foods, Central Garden, and Nuzee. Co. engages in the roasting, wholesale, equipment servicing, and distribution of coffee, tea, and other allied products ... More

Farmer Bros Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Farmer Bros' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Farmer Bros Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Farmer Bros Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Farmer Bros' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Farmer Bros' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Farmer Bros historical prices to predict the future Farmer Bros' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Farmer Bros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.578.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.897.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.618.40
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmer Bros. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmer Bros' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmer Bros' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmer Bros.

Farmer Bros Backtested Returns

Farmer Bros appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Farmer Bros secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0777, which denotes the company had a 0.0777% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Farmer Bros Co, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Farmer Bros' Mean Deviation of 3.52, downside deviation of 4.02, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1382.58 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Farmer Bros holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.72, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Farmer Bros will likely underperform. Please check Farmer Bros' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Farmer Bros' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.16  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Farmer Bros Co has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Farmer Bros time series from 4th of April 2023 to 1st of October 2023 and 1st of October 2023 to 29th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Farmer Bros price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Farmer Bros price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.19

Farmer Bros lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Farmer Bros stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Farmer Bros' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Farmer Bros returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Farmer Bros has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Farmer Bros regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Farmer Bros stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Farmer Bros stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Farmer Bros stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Farmer Bros Lagged Returns

When evaluating Farmer Bros' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Farmer Bros stock have on its future price. Farmer Bros autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Farmer Bros autocorrelation shows the relationship between Farmer Bros stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Farmer Bros Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Farmer Bros in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Farmer Bros' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Farmer Bros options trading.

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When determining whether Farmer Bros is a strong investment it is important to analyze Farmer Bros' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Farmer Bros' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Farmer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Farmer Bros Correlation, Farmer Bros Volatility and Farmer Bros Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Farmer Bros.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Farmer Stock analysis

When running Farmer Bros' price analysis, check to measure Farmer Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmer Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Farmer Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmer Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmer Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmer Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Farmer Bros technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Farmer Bros technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Farmer Bros trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...