Franklin Total Return Fund Market Value

FRERX Fund  USD 8.33  0.02  0.24%   
Franklin Total's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin Total trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin Total Return investors about its performance. Franklin Total is trading at 8.33 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is 0.24 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin Total Return and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin Total over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin Total Correlation, Franklin Total Volatility and Franklin Total Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin Total.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin Total 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin Total's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin Total.
0.00
04/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin Total on April 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Total Return or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin Total over 720 days. Franklin Total is related to or competes with USCF Gold, Franklin Mutual, Templeton Developing, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, and Templeton Foreign. The fund normally invests primarily in debt securities, which may be represented by derivative investments that provide ... More

Franklin Total Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin Total's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Total Return upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin Total Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Total's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin Total's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin Total historical prices to predict the future Franklin Total's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.958.318.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.167.529.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.888.258.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.308.318.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Total Return.

Franklin Total Return Backtested Returns

Franklin Total Return secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0366, which denotes the fund had a -0.0366% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Franklin Total Return exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Franklin Total's Mean Deviation of 0.2846, downside deviation of 0.3993, and Semi Deviation of 0.3575 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.26, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Franklin Total's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin Total is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

Franklin Total Return has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin Total time series from 8th of April 2022 to 3rd of April 2023 and 3rd of April 2023 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Total Return price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Franklin Total price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Franklin Total Return lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin Total mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin Total's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin Total returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin Total has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin Total regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin Total mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin Total mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin Total mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin Total Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin Total's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin Total mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin Total autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin Total autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin Total mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Total Return.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Franklin Total Correlation, Franklin Total Volatility and Franklin Total Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin Total.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Franklin Mutual Fund analysis

When running Franklin Total's price analysis, check to measure Franklin Total's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin Total is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin Total's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin Total's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin Total's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin Total to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Franklin Total technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Franklin Total technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Franklin Total trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...