Groupon Stock Market Value

GRPN Stock  USD 13.34  0.52  4.06%   
Groupon's market value is the price at which a share of Groupon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Groupon investors about its performance. Groupon is selling at 13.34 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is 4.06% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.82.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Groupon and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Groupon over a given investment horizon. Check out Groupon Correlation, Groupon Volatility and Groupon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Groupon.
To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.
Symbol

Groupon Price To Book Ratio

Is Groupon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. If investors know Groupon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Groupon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.092
Earnings Share
(1.77)
Revenue Per Share
16.481
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Groupon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Groupon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Groupon.
0.00
04/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Groupon on April 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Groupon or generate 0.0% return on investment in Groupon over 720 days. Groupon is related to or competes with Zillow Group, Outbrain, TuanChe ADR, Weibo Corp, YY, Zhihu, and Meta Platforms. Groupon, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants More

Groupon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Groupon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Groupon upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Groupon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Groupon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Groupon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Groupon historical prices to predict the future Groupon's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Groupon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.5013.3419.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.1812.0217.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.1012.9418.78
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.5113.7515.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Groupon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Groupon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Groupon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Groupon.

Groupon Backtested Returns

Groupon appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Groupon holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0425, which attests that the entity had a 0.0425% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Groupon, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Groupon's Downside Deviation of 6.74, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1027, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0406 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Groupon holds a performance score of 3. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 3.38, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Groupon will likely underperform. Please check Groupon's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Groupon's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

Groupon has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Groupon time series from 8th of April 2022 to 3rd of April 2023 and 3rd of April 2023 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Groupon price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Groupon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test-0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance19.32

Groupon lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Groupon stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Groupon's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Groupon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Groupon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Groupon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Groupon stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Groupon stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Groupon stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Groupon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Groupon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Groupon stock have on its future price. Groupon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Groupon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Groupon stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Groupon.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Groupon Investors Sentiment

The influence of Groupon's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Groupon. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Groupon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Groupon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Groupon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Groupon. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Groupon's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Groupon's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Groupon's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Groupon.

Groupon Implied Volatility

    
  57.21  
Groupon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Groupon stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Groupon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Groupon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Groupon's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Groupon in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Groupon's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Groupon options trading.

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When determining whether Groupon offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Groupon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Groupon Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Groupon Stock:
Check out Groupon Correlation, Groupon Volatility and Groupon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Groupon.
To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for Groupon Stock analysis

When running Groupon's price analysis, check to measure Groupon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupon is operating at the current time. Most of Groupon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Groupon technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Groupon technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Groupon trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...