Lennar Stock Market Value
| LEN Stock | USD 152.49 0.61 0.40% |
| Symbol | Lennar |
Lennar Price To Book Ratio
Is Lennar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lennar. If investors know Lennar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lennar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.249 | Dividend Share 1.625 | Earnings Share 14.24 | Revenue Per Share 124.738 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.127 |
The market value of Lennar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lennar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lennar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lennar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lennar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lennar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lennar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lennar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lennar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Lennar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lennar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lennar.
| 01/20/2024 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Lennar on January 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lennar or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lennar over 90 days. Lennar is related to or competes with Taylor Morn, Beazer Homes, Cavco Industries, Legacy Housing, and KB Home. Lennar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder primarily under the Lennar brand in the Un... More
Lennar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lennar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lennar upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.95) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.72 |
Lennar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lennar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lennar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lennar historical prices to predict the future Lennar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0208 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0174 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lennar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lennar Backtested Returns
Lennar has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0012, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0012% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lennar exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lennar's Mean Deviation of 1.45, risk adjusted performance of 0.0208, and Downside Deviation of 2.48 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.04, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lennar will likely underperform. Lennar has an expected return of -0.0024%. Please make sure to verify Lennar expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Lennar performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.39 |
Poor reverse predictability
Lennar has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lennar time series from 20th of January 2024 to 5th of March 2024 and 5th of March 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lennar price movement. The serial correlation of -0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Lennar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.39 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 24.65 |
Lennar lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Lennar stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lennar's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lennar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lennar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Lennar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lennar stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lennar stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lennar stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Lennar Lagged Returns
When evaluating Lennar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lennar stock have on its future price. Lennar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lennar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lennar stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lennar.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Lennar Investors Sentiment
The influence of Lennar's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Lennar. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Lennar's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lennar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lennar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lennar. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Lennar's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Lennar's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Lennar's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Lennar.
Lennar Implied Volatility | 50.92 |
Lennar's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lennar stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lennar's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lennar stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lennar's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Lennar in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Lennar's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Lennar options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Lennar Correlation, Lennar Volatility and Lennar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lennar. To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.Note that the Lennar information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lennar's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
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When running Lennar's price analysis, check to measure Lennar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lennar is operating at the current time. Most of Lennar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lennar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lennar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lennar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Lennar technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.