Moodys Stock Market Value
| MCO Stock | USD 373.54 3.62 0.96% |
| Symbol | Moodys |
Moodys Price To Book Ratio
Is Moodys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moodys. If investors know Moodys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moodys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.382 | Dividend Share 3.08 | Earnings Share 8.71 | Revenue Per Share 32.293 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.147 |
The market value of Moodys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moodys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moodys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moodys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moodys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moodys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moodys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moodys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moodys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Moodys 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Moodys' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Moodys.
| 02/16/2024 |
| 04/16/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Moodys on February 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Moodys or generate 0.0% return on investment in Moodys over 60 days. Moodys is related to or competes with MSCI, Intercontinental, CME, Nasdaq, SP Global, and FactSet Research. Moodys Corporation operates as an integrated risk assessment firm worldwide More
Moodys Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Moodys' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Moodys upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.69) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.8 |
Moodys Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Moodys' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Moodys' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Moodys historical prices to predict the future Moodys' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0064 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.01) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moodys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Moodys Backtested Returns
Moodys has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0122, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0122% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Moodys exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Moodys' Downside Deviation of 1.97, risk adjusted performance of 0.0064, and Mean Deviation of 0.9251 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.48, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Moodys will likely underperform. Moodys has an expected return of -0.018%. Please make sure to verify Moodys expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Moodys performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.02 |
Virtually no predictability
Moodys has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Moodys time series from 16th of February 2024 to 17th of March 2024 and 17th of March 2024 to 16th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Moodys price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Moodys price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 45.09 |
Moodys lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Moodys stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Moodys' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Moodys returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Moodys has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Moodys regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Moodys stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Moodys stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Moodys stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Moodys Lagged Returns
When evaluating Moodys' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Moodys stock have on its future price. Moodys autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Moodys autocorrelation shows the relationship between Moodys stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Moodys.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Moodys Correlation, Moodys Volatility and Moodys Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Moodys. To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.Note that the Moodys information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Moodys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Moodys Stock analysis
When running Moodys' price analysis, check to measure Moodys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moodys is operating at the current time. Most of Moodys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moodys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moodys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moodys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Moodys technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.