Novartis Ag Adr Stock Market Value
| NVS Stock | USD 93.08 0.12 0.13% |
| Symbol | Novartis |
Novartis AG ADR Price To Book Ratio
Is Novartis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Novartis. If investors know Novartis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Novartis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.987 | Dividend Share 3.919 | Earnings Share 4.1 | Revenue Per Share 22.467 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 |
The market value of Novartis AG ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Novartis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Novartis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Novartis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Novartis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Novartis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Novartis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Novartis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Novartis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Novartis 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Novartis' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Novartis.
| 03/19/2024 |
| 04/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Novartis on March 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Novartis AG ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Novartis over 30 days. Novartis is related to or competes with SEI Investments, and Embecta Corp. Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures, and markets healthcare products worldwide More
Novartis Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Novartis' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Novartis AG ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.08 |
Novartis Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Novartis' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Novartis' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Novartis historical prices to predict the future Novartis' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.37) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Novartis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Novartis AG ADR Backtested Returns
Novartis AG ADR has Sharpe Ratio of -0.17, which conveys that the firm had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Novartis exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Novartis' Mean Deviation of 0.7374, standard deviation of 1.03, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.45, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Novartis' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Novartis is expected to be smaller as well. Novartis AG ADR has an expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to verify Novartis AG ADR value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and relative strength index , to decide if Novartis AG ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.48 |
Average predictability
Novartis AG ADR has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Novartis time series from 19th of March 2024 to 3rd of April 2024 and 3rd of April 2024 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Novartis AG ADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Novartis price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.2 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.32 |
Novartis AG ADR lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Novartis stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Novartis' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Novartis returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Novartis has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Novartis regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Novartis stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Novartis stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Novartis stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Novartis Lagged Returns
When evaluating Novartis' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Novartis stock have on its future price. Novartis autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Novartis autocorrelation shows the relationship between Novartis stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Novartis AG ADR.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Novartis Investors Sentiment
The influence of Novartis' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Novartis. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Novartis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Novartis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Novartis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Novartis AG ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Novartis' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Novartis' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Novartis' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Novartis.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Novartis in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Novartis' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Novartis options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Novartis Correlation, Novartis Volatility and Novartis Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Novartis. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
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When running Novartis' price analysis, check to measure Novartis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novartis is operating at the current time. Most of Novartis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novartis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novartis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novartis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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