American Funds 2040 Fund Market Value
| RHGTX Fund | USD 19.02 0.05 0.26% |
| Symbol | American |
American Funds 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Funds' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Funds.
| 04/28/2022 |
| 04/17/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Funds on April 28, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Funds 2040 or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Funds over 720 days. American Funds is related to or competes with American Funds, American Funds, American Funds, American Funds, and American Funds. The fund normally invests a greater portion of its assets in fixed income, equity-income and balanced funds as it approa... More
American Funds Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Funds' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Funds 2040 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6555 | |||
| Information Ratio | 9.0E-4 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.87 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.9911 |
American Funds Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Funds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Funds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Funds historical prices to predict the future American Funds' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.061 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0062 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0028 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 8.0E-4 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0551 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Funds 2040 Backtested Returns
We consider American Funds very steady. American Funds 2040 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for American Funds 2040, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm American Funds' mean deviation of 0.4676, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.061 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0691%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.88, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. American Funds returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, American Funds is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
American Funds 2040 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Funds time series from 28th of April 2022 to 23rd of April 2023 and 23rd of April 2023 to 17th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Funds 2040 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current American Funds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.56 |
American Funds 2040 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is American Funds mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Funds' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Funds returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Funds has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
American Funds regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Funds mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Funds mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Funds mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
American Funds Lagged Returns
When evaluating American Funds' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Funds mutual fund have on its future price. American Funds autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Funds autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Funds mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Funds 2040.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| LTC | Litecoin | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | |
| LINK | Chainlink | |
| XLM | Stellar | |
| CRO | Cronos |
Check out American Funds Correlation, American Funds Volatility and American Funds Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Funds. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
American Funds technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.