Twilio Inc Stock Market Value
| TWLO Stock | USD 58.61 1.06 1.84% |
| Symbol | Twilio |
Twilio Inc Price To Book Ratio
Is Twilio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twilio. If investors know Twilio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twilio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.54) | Revenue Per Share 22.659 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (0.10) |
The market value of Twilio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twilio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twilio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twilio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twilio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twilio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twilio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Twilio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twilio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Twilio 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Twilio's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Twilio.
| 01/29/2023 |
| 04/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Twilio on January 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Twilio Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Twilio over 450 days. Twilio is related to or competes with Snap, Fiverr International, Spotify Technology, Baidu, Pinterest, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet. Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, ... More
Twilio Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Twilio's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Twilio Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.89) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.45 |
Twilio Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Twilio's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Twilio's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Twilio historical prices to predict the future Twilio's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.64) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.35) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Twilio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Twilio Inc Backtested Returns
Twilio Inc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which indicates the firm had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Twilio Inc exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Twilio's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), variance of 7.32, and Coefficient Of Variation of (898.84) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.89, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Twilio returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Twilio is expected to follow. Twilio Inc has an expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to validate Twilio information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Twilio Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.48 |
Modest reverse predictability
Twilio Inc has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Twilio time series from 29th of January 2023 to 11th of September 2023 and 11th of September 2023 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Twilio Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Twilio price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 49.78 |
Twilio Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Twilio stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Twilio's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Twilio returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Twilio has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Twilio regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Twilio stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Twilio stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Twilio stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Twilio Lagged Returns
When evaluating Twilio's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Twilio stock have on its future price. Twilio autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Twilio autocorrelation shows the relationship between Twilio stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Twilio Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Twilio Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Twilio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Twilio Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Twilio Inc Stock:Check out Twilio Correlation, Twilio Volatility and Twilio Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Twilio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Twilio Stock analysis
When running Twilio's price analysis, check to measure Twilio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twilio is operating at the current time. Most of Twilio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twilio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twilio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twilio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Twilio technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.