Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#754DEB;color: #F0FFF0;font-size:4em;padding-top: 25px;;'>BW</div>
BW -- USA Stock  

USD 2.26  0.01  0.44%

Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Babcock Wilcox historical stock prices and determine the direction of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Babcock Wilcox historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Babcock Wilcox naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Babcock Wilcox fundamentals over time. Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections.

Search Stock Forecast

 
Refresh
Babcock Wilcox PPandE Turnover is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Babcock Wilcox reported PPandE Turnover of 10.50 in 2019. Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 4.76 in 2020, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 14.49 in 2020. . Babcock Wilcox Weighted Average Shares is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Babcock Wilcox reported Weighted Average Shares of 31.51 Million in 2019. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to grow to about 34 M in 2020, whereas Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to drop slightly above 41.3 M in 2020.
A naive forecasting model for Babcock Wilcox is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Babcock Wilcox Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of July 2020

Given 30 days horizon, the forecasted value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be  2.46  with a mean absolute deviation of  0.13 , mean absolute percentage error of  0.028595 , and the sum of the absolute errors of  7.65 
 2.46 

Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Babcock WilcoxBabcock Wilcox Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Babcock Wilcox Forecasted Value

Market Value
2.26
12th of July 2020
0.0226
Downside
2.46
Expected Value
11.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria114.556
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1254
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0801
SAESum of the absolute errors7.6519
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Babcock Wilcox. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Babcock Wilcox

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Babcock Wilcox Enter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.112.2411.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.346.8216.07
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0021.0022.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Babcock Wilcox

View Currently Related Equities

Babcock Wilcox Enter Technical and Predictive Analytics

Volatility Measures

Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators

Did you try this?

Run Portfolio Backtesting Now

   

Portfolio Backtesting

Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
All  Next Launch Module

Babcock Wilcox Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Babcock Wilcox and Bloom Energy. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page