GM Stock Forecast - Market Facilitation Index
| GM Stock | USD 42.55 0.09 0.21% |
GM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GM stock prices and determine the direction of General Motors's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GM's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although GM's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of GM's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of GM fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GM to cross-verify your projections. GM |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 GM Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GM's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GM's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GM stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GM's open interest, investors have to compare it to GM's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GM is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GM. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in GM cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the GM's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets GM's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Market Facilitation Index is simply a difference between period high and low prices divided by period trading volume.| Check GM Volatility | Backtest GM | Information Ratio |
GM Trading Date Momentum
| On April 18 2024 General Motors was traded for 42.55 at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 43.16 and the lowest recorded bid was listed for 42.29 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 18, 2024 did not cause price change. The overall trading delta to the current price is 0.21% . |
Market Facilitation Index was developed by Dr. Bill Williams. This indicator can help to determine either strong or week signal that can follow the current trend line by looking at how Market Facilitation index correlates with trading volume over time.
| Compare GM to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for GM
For every potential investor in GM, whether a beginner or expert, GM's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GM's price trends.GM Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GM stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GM could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GM by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
General Motors Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GM's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GM's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GM Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GM stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GM shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GM stock market strength indicators, traders can identify General Motors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
GM Risk Indicators
The analysis of GM's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GM's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
GM Investors Sentiment
The influence of GM's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in GM. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to GM's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around General Motors. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
GM's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for GM's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average GM's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on GM.
GM Implied Volatility | 81.51 |
GM's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Motors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GM's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GM stock will not fluctuate a lot when GM's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards GM in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, GM's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from GM options trading.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GM to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for GM Stock analysis
When running GM's price analysis, check to measure GM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GM is operating at the current time. Most of GM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators |
Is GM's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GM. If investors know GM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.135 | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 7.32 | Revenue Per Share 125.984 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of General Motors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.