Merck Stock Forecast - Rate Of Daily Change
| MRK Stock | USD 125.37 0.31 0.25% |
Merck Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Merck stock prices and determine the direction of Merck Company's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Merck's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Merck's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Merck's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Merck fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Merck to cross-verify your projections. Merck |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Merck Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Merck's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Merck's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Merck stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Merck's open interest, investors have to compare it to Merck's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Merck is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Merck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Merck cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Merck's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Merck's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Rate Of Daily Change (RDOC) indicator calculates rate of change of a given period over the current closing price of Merck.| Check Merck Volatility | Backtest Merck | Information Ratio |
Merck Trading Date Momentum
| On April 18 2024 Merck Company was traded for 125.37 at the closing time. Highest Merck's price during the trading hours was 126.19 and the lowest price during the day was 124.71 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 18th of April 2024 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.25% . |
The rate of daily change can indicate whether a given asset was oversold or over brought during a given period.
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Other Forecasting Options for Merck
For every potential investor in Merck, whether a beginner or expert, Merck's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Merck Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Merck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Merck's price trends.Merck Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Merck stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Merck could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Merck by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Merck Company Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Merck's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Merck's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Merck Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Merck stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Merck shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Merck stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Merck Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Merck Risk Indicators
The analysis of Merck's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Merck's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting merck stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6444 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6597 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6109 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4352 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Merck Investors Sentiment
The influence of Merck's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Merck. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Merck's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Merck. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Merck can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Merck Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Merck's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Merck's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Merck's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Merck.
Merck Implied Volatility | 41.31 |
Merck's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Merck Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Merck's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Merck stock will not fluctuate a lot when Merck's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Merck in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Merck's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Merck options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Merck to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for Merck Stock analysis
When running Merck's price analysis, check to measure Merck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merck is operating at the current time. Most of Merck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Merck's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merck. If investors know Merck will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merck listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.453 | Dividend Share 2.92 | Earnings Share 0.14 | Revenue Per Share 23.695 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.058 |
The market value of Merck Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merck's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merck's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merck's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merck's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Merck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.