Kellogg Stock Price Prediction

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K -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: 30th of June 2020  

Kellogg Company stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kellogg shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kellogg stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kellogg Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Please see Kellogg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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The Kellogg stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kellogg over a specific investment horizon. Using Kellogg hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kellogg Company from the perspective of Kellogg response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. Kellogg Receivables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The last year's value of Receivables Turnover was reported at 10.05. The current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to 7.45, while Cash Flow Per Share is estimated to decrease to 4.38.
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.623.803.95
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
62.0365.1868.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
57.9061.0571.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
65.1068.2571.39
Details
Analysts
Consensus (13)
LowTarget PriceHigh
65.0068.9279.00
Details

Kellogg After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Kellogg Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
65.31
1st of June 2020
65.18
After-hype Price
68.33
Upside
Kellogg is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kellogg Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kellogg Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12  3.12  0.14   0.03  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
65.3165.180.20 
260.00  

Kellogg Hype Timeline

As of June 1, 2020 Kellogg Company is listed for 65.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Kellogg Company is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 65.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 260.0%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.2% where as daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Kellogg is about 1136.61% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 65.34. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on 2020-05-29. Kellogg Company had 2:1 split on 1997-08-25. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Please see Kellogg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kellogg Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Kellogg Company(1.20) 9 per month 2.81  0.0342  4.61 (4.03)  21.23 
Lamb Weston Holdings 0.58 10 per month 0.00 (0.0484)  8.22 (11.30)  43.00 
DAVIDsTEA 0.06 3 per month 0.00 (0.0084)  15.22 (13.16)  34.03 
Farmmi Inc Ordinary(0.045) 1 per month 0.00 (0.09)  6.93 (7.57)  29.82 
Farmer Brothers 0.40 8 per month 0.00 (0.07)  12.22 (12.03)  28.04 
BG Foods BG 0.24 10 per month 5.37  0.13  8.72 (7.27)  31.29 
ConAgra Brands 0.15 10 per month 3.61  0.12  6.43 (2.85)  26.81 
Campbell Soup 0.58 7 per month 3.37  0.06  5.30 (4.84)  22.59 
Darling Ingredients(0.18) 7 per month 6.81  0.0114  7.22 (10.07)  28.20 
Freshpet 2.16 9 per month 6.72  0.07  10.91 (10.57)  38.46 

Additional Predictive Modules

About Kellogg Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kellogg stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kellogg Company, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of Kellogg hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Kellogg's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kellogg's related companies.
Please see Kellogg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
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