Correlation Between Novartis and Allergan Plc

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Novartis and Allergan Plc at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Novartis and Allergan Plc into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Novartis AG ADR and Allergan Plc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Novartis and Allergan Plc and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Novartis with a short position of Allergan Plc. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Novartis and Allergan Plc.

Diversification Opportunities for Novartis and Allergan Plc

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  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Novartis and Allergan is 0.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Novartis AG ADR and Allergan Plc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Allergan Plc and Novartis is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Novartis AG ADR are associated (or correlated) with Allergan Plc. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Allergan Plc has no effect on the direction of Novartis i.e., Novartis and Allergan Plc go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Novartis and Allergan Plc

If you would invest  7,744  in Novartis AG ADR on December 29, 2023 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,844  from holding Novartis AG ADR or generate 23.81% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionFlat 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy0.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Novartis AG ADR  vs.  Allergan Plc

 Performance 
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Novartis AG ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Novartis AG ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Novartis is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
Allergan Plc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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High
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Allergan Plc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy technical and fundamental indicators, Allergan Plc is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Novartis and Allergan Plc Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Novartis and Allergan Plc

The main advantage of trading using opposite Novartis and Allergan Plc positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Novartis position performs unexpectedly, Allergan Plc can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Allergan Plc will offset losses from the drop in Allergan Plc's long position.
The idea behind Novartis AG ADR and Allergan Plc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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