Vipshop Stock Price Prediction

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VIPS -- USA Stock  

Last Earning Anouncement: 31st of March 2016  

Vipshop Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Vipshop Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Vipshop Holdings stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vipshop Holdings Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Also please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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The Vipshop stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vipshop Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Vipshop Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vipshop Holdings Limited from the perspective of Vipshop Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.540.560.57
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
13.3718.0322.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.4915.1519.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.7518.4123.06
Details
Analysts
Consensus (8)
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0016.0020.00
Details

Vipshop Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Vipshop Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
17.97
6th of June 2020
18.03
After-hype Price
22.69
Upside
Vipshop Holdings is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vipshop Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vipshop Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18  4.66  0.06   0.03  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.9718.030.33 
1,331  

Vipshop Holdings Hype Timeline

Vipshop Holdings is at this time traded for17.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Vipshop Holdings Limited is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 18.03. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1331.43%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.33% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Vipshop Holdings is about 3127.73% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 18.0. The company reported previous year revenue of 12.55 B. Net Income was 321.22 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.68 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Also please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vipshop Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vipshop Holdings Limited 0.35 9 per month 3.80  0.06  9.96 (6.94)  35.35 
Barnes Noble 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.59)  1.05 (1.05)  3.16 
J C Penney(0.0101) 8 per month 0.00 (0.1)  23.05 (21.56)  84.57 
Rite Aid(0.32) 7 per month 8.97 (0.0213)  12.14 (13.19)  50.26 
Sally Beauty Holdings(0.30) 28 per month 6.52  0.0361  12.05 (10.91)  27.09 
Sprouts Farmers Market 0.49 9 per month 3.67  0.1  7.32 (4.89)  22.26 
Spectrum Brands Holdings 0.31 9 per month 0.00 (0.0415)  11.04 (10.60)  41.63 
SuperValu 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.50 (0.87)  66.11 
Sysco 1.92 9 per month 6.91 (0.0299)  13.95 (10.90)  27.98 
Target(0.95) 7 per month 3.29 (0.0074)  5.53 (3.91)  19.96 

Additional Predictive Modules

About Vipshop Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vipshop Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vipshop Holdings Limited, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of Vipshop Holdings hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Vipshop Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vipshop Holdings's related companies.
Vipshop Holdings Limited operates as an online discount retailer for various brands in the Peoples Republic of China. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the Peoples Republic of China. Vipshop Holdings operates under Internet Retail classification in USA and is traded on BATS Exchange. It employs 20442 people.
Also please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
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