Correlation Between Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Harmony Gold Mining and Toll Brothers, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Harmony Gold with a short position of Toll Brothers. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers.

Diversification Opportunities for Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers

-0.81

Correlation Coefficient

Harmony Gold  Toll Brothers

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Harmony and Toll is -0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Harmony Gold Mining and Toll Brothers in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Toll Brothers and Harmony Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Harmony Gold Mining are associated (or correlated) with Toll Brothers. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Toll Brothers has no effect on the direction of Harmony Gold i.e., Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers

Assuming the 90 days horizon Harmony Gold Mining is expected to under-perform the Toll Brothers. In addition to that, Harmony Gold is 1.62 times more volatile than Toll Brothers. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Toll Brothers is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  8,083  in Toll Brothers on April 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,002  from holding Toll Brothers or generate 24.77% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

Harmony Gold Mining  vs.  Toll Brothers

Harmony Gold Mining

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Harmony Gold Mining has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in August 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Toll Brothers

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Toll Brothers are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Toll Brothers reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers

The main advantage of trading using opposite Harmony Gold and Toll Brothers positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Harmony Gold position performs unexpectedly, Toll Brothers can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Toll Brothers will offset losses from the drop in Toll Brothers' long position.

The idea behind Harmony Gold Mining and Toll Brothers pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.