Correlation Between Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Inflation Linked Fixed Income and Emerging Markets Equity, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Inflation-linked with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets

0.67

Correlation Coefficient

Inflation-linked  Emerging Markets

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Inflation-linked and Emerging is 0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Inflation Linked Fixed Income and Emerging Markets Equity in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets Equity and Inflation-linked is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Inflation Linked Fixed Income are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets Equity has no effect on the direction of Inflation-linked i.e., Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Inflation-linked is expected to generate 5.93 times less return on investment than Emerging Markets. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Inflation Linked Fixed Income is 3.02 times less risky than Emerging Markets. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Equity is currently generating about 0.25 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,394  in Emerging Markets Equity on July 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  366.00  from holding Emerging Markets Equity or generate 26.26% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Inflation Linked Fixed Income  vs.  Emerging Markets Equity

Inflation Linked Fixed

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Inflation Linked Fixed Income are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Inflation-linked is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Emerging Markets Equity

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Equity are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Emerging Markets may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in November 2025.

Pair Trading with Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Inflation-linked and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Inflation-linked position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.

The idea behind Inflation Linked Fixed Income and Emerging Markets Equity pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.