Astral Foods Limited Stock Performance

ALFDF Stock  USD 7.39  0.00  0.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Astral Foods holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.61, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Astral Foods' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Astral Foods is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Astral Foods' jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Astral Foods' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Astral Foods Limited are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent fundamental indicators, Astral Foods reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow281.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-179.2 M
  

Astral Foods Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  636.00  in Astral Foods Limited on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  103.00  from holding Astral Foods Limited or generate 16.19% return on investment over 90 days. Astral Foods Limited is currently producing 0.3191% returns and takes up 4.0729% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 36% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Astral, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Astral Foods is expected to generate 5.42 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Astral Foods Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Astral Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.39 90 days 7.39 
about 1.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astral Foods to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.56 (This Astral Foods Limited probability density function shows the probability of Astral Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Astral Foods has a beta of 0.61. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Astral Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Astral Foods Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Astral Foods Limited has an alpha of 0.2633, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Astral Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Astral Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astral Foods Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astral Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.327.3911.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.288.3512.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.427.4911.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.856.837.81
Details

Astral Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astral Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astral Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astral Foods Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astral Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Astral Foods Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astral Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astral Foods Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Astral Foods Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Astral Foods Fundamentals Growth

Astral Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Astral Foods, and Astral Foods fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Astral Pink Sheet performance.

About Astral Foods Performance

By analyzing Astral Foods' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Astral Foods' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Astral Foods has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Astral Foods has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Astral Foods Limited operates as an integrated poultry producer in South Africa and internationally. Astral Foods Limited was founded in 2001 and is based in Centurion, South Africa. Astral Foods operates under Farm Products classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 9679 people.

Things to note about Astral Foods Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Astral Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Astral Foods Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Astral Foods Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Evaluating Astral Foods' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Astral Foods' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Astral Foods' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Astral Foods' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Astral Foods' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Astral Foods' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Astral Foods' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Astral Foods' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Astral Foods' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Astral Foods' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Astral Foods' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Astral Pink Sheet analysis

When running Astral Foods' price analysis, check to measure Astral Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astral Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Astral Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astral Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astral Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astral Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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