American Axle Manufacturing Performance

AXLDelisted Stock  USD 9.00  0.61  7.27%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, American Axle holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.67, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, American Axle's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Axle is expected to be smaller as well. Please check American Axle's standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether American Axle's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Axle Manufacturing are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting basic indicators, American Axle disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow519.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-254.8 M
  

American Axle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  626.00  in American Axle Manufacturing on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  274.00  from holding American Axle Manufacturing or generate 43.77% return on investment over 90 days. American Axle Manufacturing is generating 0.7751% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.1304% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 85% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Axle is expected to generate 4.17 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of risk.

American Axle Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.00 90 days 9.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Axle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American Axle Manufacturing probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Axle has a beta of 0.67. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Axle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Axle Manufacturing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Axle Manufacturing has an alpha of 0.5231, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Axle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Axle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Axle Manufa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Axle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.878.9712.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.876.9710.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.398.4911.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.588.2615.93
Details

American Axle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Axle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Axle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Axle Manufacturing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Axle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

American Axle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Axle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Axle Manufa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Axle Manufa is now traded under the symbol DCH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
American Axle Manufa is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
American Axle Manufa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
American Axle Manufa has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Dauch Corporation Completes Acquisition of Dowlais Group plc

American Axle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Axle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Axle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding121.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments552.9 M

American Axle Fundamentals Growth

American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Axle, and American Axle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.

About American Axle Performance

By examining American Axle's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into American Axle's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that American Axle is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
American Axle Manufacturing Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies that supports electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles in the United States, Mexico, South America, China, other Asian countries, and Europe. American Axle Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan. American Axle operates under Auto Parts classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 18000 people.

Things to note about American Axle Manufa performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Axle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Axle Manufa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Axle Manufa is now traded under the symbol DCH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
American Axle Manufa is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
American Axle Manufa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
American Axle Manufa has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Dauch Corporation Completes Acquisition of Dowlais Group plc
Evaluating American Axle's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Axle's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Axle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Axle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Axle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Axle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Axle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Axle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Axle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Axle's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Axle's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Other Consideration for investing in American Stock

If you are still planning to invest in American Axle Manufa check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the American Axle's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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