Digimarc Stock Performance

DMRC Stock  USD 5.41  0.30  5.87%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.16, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Digimarc will likely underperform. At this point, Digimarc has a negative expected return of -0.55%. Please make sure to confirm Digimarc's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Digimarc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Digimarc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
5.87
Five Day Return
(11.17)
Year To Date Return
(14.40)
Ten Year Return
(80.75)
All Time Return
(90.45)
Dividend Date
2014-05-12
Ex Dividend Date
2014-05-01
1
Digimarc, Honeywell partner to fight gift card fraud DMRCHON
11/24/2025
2
Acquisition by Kool Kathleen of 7758 shares of Digimarc at 12.89 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
3
Disposition of 1322 shares by George Karamanos of Digimarc at 8.81 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
4
Acquisition by Charles Beck of 1996 shares of Digimarc at 8.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
5
What New Catalysts Are Shaping the Evolving Narrative for Digimarc Stock
12/16/2025
6
Digital Watermarks Are the Latest Protection for Physical Gift Cards
12/19/2025
7
Head to Head Analysis Digimarc vs. Assa Abloy
12/24/2025
8
Acquisition by Park Michael of 1905 shares of Digimarc at 6.56 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
9
Why Analysts See Digimarc Story Shifting After Target Cut And New Partnerships
01/06/2026
10
Altai Capital Management Nominates Two Highly-Qualified Candidates for Election to OraSure Board of Directors
01/15/2026
11
Global Digital Product Passport Platforms Market Forecast to Grow From USD 2.4 Billion in 2025 to USD 10.8 Billion by 2035
01/21/2026
12
Disposition of 511 shares by Tony Rodriguez of Digimarc at 13.45 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow21.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-11.3 M

Digimarc Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  818.00  in Digimarc on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (277.00) from holding Digimarc or give up 33.86% of portfolio value over 90 days. Digimarc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.816% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than Digimarc, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Digimarc is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Digimarc Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Digimarc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.41 90 days 5.41 
over 95.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Digimarc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.22 (This Digimarc probability density function shows the probability of Digimarc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.16 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Digimarc will likely underperform. Additionally Digimarc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Digimarc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Digimarc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digimarc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.685.5010.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.987.8012.62
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.6515.0016.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.04-0.020.00
Details

Digimarc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Digimarc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Digimarc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Digimarc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Digimarc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Digimarc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Digimarc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Digimarc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Digimarc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Digimarc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 38.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.2 M.
Digimarc currently holds about 68.39 M in cash with (26.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.47.
Digimarc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Digital Product Passport Platforms Market Forecast to Grow From USD 2.4 Billion in 2025 to USD 10.8 Billion by 2035

Digimarc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Digimarc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Digimarc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digimarc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.7 M

Digimarc Fundamentals Growth

Digimarc Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Digimarc, and Digimarc fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Digimarc Stock performance.

About Digimarc Performance

By analyzing Digimarc's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Digimarc's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Digimarc has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Digimarc has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.00)(0.95)
Return On Capital Employed(0.71)(0.68)
Return On Assets(0.59)(0.56)
Return On Equity(0.73)(0.69)

Things to note about Digimarc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Digimarc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Digimarc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Digimarc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Digimarc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 38.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.2 M.
Digimarc currently holds about 68.39 M in cash with (26.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.47.
Digimarc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Digital Product Passport Platforms Market Forecast to Grow From USD 2.4 Billion in 2025 to USD 10.8 Billion by 2035
Evaluating Digimarc's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Digimarc's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Digimarc's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Digimarc's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Digimarc's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Digimarc's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Digimarc's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Digimarc's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Digimarc's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Digimarc's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Digimarc's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Digimarc's price analysis, check to measure Digimarc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Digimarc is operating at the current time. Most of Digimarc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Digimarc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Digimarc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Digimarc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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