Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Price Prediction

AP Stock  USD 2.11  0.09  4.09%   
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of Ampco Pittsburgh's share price is approaching 45. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ampco Pittsburgh, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ampco-Pittsburgh stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ampco Pittsburgh shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ampco Pittsburgh's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ampco Pittsburgh and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ampco Pittsburgh's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ampco Pittsburgh, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ampco Pittsburgh's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.31)
Wall Street Target Price
5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ampco Pittsburgh based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ampco stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ampco Pittsburgh over a specific investment horizon. Using Ampco Pittsburgh hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ampco Pittsburgh from the perspective of Ampco Pittsburgh response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ampco Pittsburgh using Ampco Pittsburgh's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ampco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ampco Pittsburgh's stock price.

Ampco Pittsburgh Implied Volatility

    
  189.31  
Ampco Pittsburgh's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ampco Pittsburgh stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ampco Pittsburgh's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ampco Pittsburgh stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ampco Pittsburgh's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ampco Pittsburgh. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ampco Pittsburgh to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ampco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ampco Pittsburgh after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ampco Pittsburgh Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ampco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ampco Pittsburgh guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ampco Pittsburgh's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.285.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.205.88
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ampco Pittsburgh. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ampco Pittsburgh's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ampco Pittsburgh's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ampco-Pittsburgh.

Ampco Pittsburgh After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ampco Pittsburgh at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ampco Pittsburgh or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ampco Pittsburgh, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ampco Pittsburgh Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ampco Pittsburgh's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ampco Pittsburgh's historical news coverage. Ampco Pittsburgh's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.79, respectively. We have considered Ampco Pittsburgh's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.11
2.11
After-hype Price
5.79
Upside
Ampco Pittsburgh is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ampco-Pittsburgh is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ampco Pittsburgh is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ampco Pittsburgh backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ampco Pittsburgh, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
3.71
  0.02 
  0.04 
7 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.11
2.11
0.00 
5,300  
Notes

Ampco Pittsburgh Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Ampco-Pittsburgh is listed for 2.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Ampco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ampco Pittsburgh is about 3287.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.15. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ampco-Pittsburgh last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2017. The entity had 4:3 split on the 2nd of February 1981. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Ampco Pittsburgh Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ampco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ampco Pittsburgh guide.

Ampco Pittsburgh Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ampco Pittsburgh's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ampco Pittsburgh's future price movements. Getting to know how Ampco Pittsburgh rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ampco Pittsburgh may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Ampco Pittsburgh Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ampco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ampco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ampco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ampco Pittsburgh Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ampco Pittsburgh stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ampco Pittsburgh, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ampco Pittsburgh based on analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ampco Pittsburgh's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ampco Pittsburgh's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Book Value Ratio0.880.79
Dividend Yield8.16E-47.76E-4

Story Coverage note for Ampco Pittsburgh

The number of cover stories for Ampco Pittsburgh depends on current market conditions and Ampco Pittsburgh's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ampco Pittsburgh is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ampco Pittsburgh's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ampco Pittsburgh Short Properties

Ampco Pittsburgh's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ampco Pittsburgh's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ampco Pittsburgh often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ampco Pittsburgh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ampco Pittsburgh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.3 M
When determining whether Ampco-Pittsburgh is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Ampco Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Ampco Pittsburgh Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Ampco Pittsburgh Stock:
Check out Ampco Pittsburgh Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ampco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ampco Pittsburgh guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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Is Ampco Pittsburgh's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ampco Pittsburgh. If investors know Ampco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ampco Pittsburgh listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.31)
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
21.529
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
Return On Assets
0.0129
The market value of Ampco-Pittsburgh is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ampco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ampco Pittsburgh's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ampco Pittsburgh's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ampco Pittsburgh's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ampco Pittsburgh's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ampco Pittsburgh's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ampco Pittsburgh is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ampco Pittsburgh's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.