Eni Spa Adr Stock Price Prediction

E Stock  USD 31.47  0.16  0.51%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Eni SPA's the stock price is about 66 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eni, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Eni SpA ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Eni SPA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Eni SPA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eni SPA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eni SPA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eni SpA ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eni SPA's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Wall Street Target Price
34.55
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Eni SPA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Eni stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Eni SPA over a specific investment horizon. Using Eni SPA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eni SpA ADR from the perspective of Eni SPA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Eni SPA using Eni SPA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Eni using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Eni SPA's stock price.

Eni SPA Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Eni SPA's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Eni. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Eni SPA stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Eni SPA may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Eni SPA and may potentially protect profits, hedge Eni SPA with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
31.4168
Short Percent
0.001
Short Ratio
3.49
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
31.4166

Eni SpA ADR Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Eni SPA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Eni. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Eni can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Eni SpA ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Eni SPA's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Eni SPA.

Eni SPA Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Eni SPA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Eni SpA ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Eni SPA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Eni SPA stock will not fluctuate a lot when Eni SPA's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Eni SPA. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eni SPA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eni because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Eni SPA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Eni SPA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eni SPA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.3234.5535.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.6130.8232.02
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.1337.5041.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.2631.4231.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eni SPA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eni SPA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eni SPA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eni SpA ADR.

Eni SPA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eni SPA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eni SPA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eni SPA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eni SPA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eni SPA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eni SPA's historical news coverage. Eni SPA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.21 and 32.63, respectively. We have considered Eni SPA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.47
31.42
After-hype Price
32.63
Upside
Eni SPA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eni SpA ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eni SPA Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eni SPA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eni SPA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eni SPA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.21
  0.05 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.47
31.42
0.16 
232.69  
Notes

Eni SPA Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Eni SpA ADR is listed for 31.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Eni is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Eni SPA is about 768.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.46. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eni SpA ADR has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of March 2024. The firm had 5:2 split on the 10th of January 2006. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Eni SPA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eni SPA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eni SPA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eni SPA's future price movements. Getting to know how Eni SPA rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eni SPA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Eni SPA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eni price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eni using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eni charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Eni SPA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Eni SPA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eni SpA ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eni SPA based on analysis of Eni SPA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eni SPA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eni SPA's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05420.06430.030.0416
Price To Sales Ratio0.570.351.080.98

Story Coverage note for Eni SPA

The number of cover stories for Eni SPA depends on current market conditions and Eni SPA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eni SPA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eni SPA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Eni SPA Short Properties

Eni SPA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eni SPA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eni SpA ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eni SPA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eni SPA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments17 B
When determining whether Eni SpA ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze Eni SPA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Eni SPA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Eni Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Eni SPA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Eni SpA ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Eni SPA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Eni Stock analysis

When running Eni SPA's price analysis, check to measure Eni SPA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eni SPA is operating at the current time. Most of Eni SPA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eni SPA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eni SPA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eni SPA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eni SPA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eni SPA. If investors know Eni will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eni SPA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Dividend Share
0.94
Earnings Share
3.04
Revenue Per Share
57.43
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
The market value of Eni SpA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eni that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eni SPA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eni SPA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eni SPA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eni SPA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eni SPA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eni SPA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eni SPA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.