Formfactor Stock Price Prediction

FORM Stock  USD 44.85  1.46  3.36%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of FormFactor's share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FormFactor, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
FormFactor stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of FormFactor shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of FormFactor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FormFactor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FormFactor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FormFactor, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting FormFactor's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.22
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.05
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.61
Wall Street Target Price
42
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of FormFactor based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FormFactor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FormFactor over a specific investment horizon. Using FormFactor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FormFactor from the perspective of FormFactor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FormFactor using FormFactor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FormFactor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FormFactor's stock price.

FormFactor Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in FormFactor's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards FormFactor. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of FormFactor stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long FormFactor may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about FormFactor and may potentially protect profits, hedge FormFactor with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
36.7193
Short Percent
0.0498
Short Ratio
5.27
Shares Short Prior Month
2.8 M
50 Day MA
42.005

FormFactor Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to FormFactor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FormFactor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FormFactor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FormFactor. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FormFactor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FormFactor.

FormFactor Implied Volatility

    
  36.5  
FormFactor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FormFactor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FormFactor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FormFactor stock will not fluctuate a lot when FormFactor's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in FormFactor. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FormFactor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FormFactor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FormFactor after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 44.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out FormFactor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in FormFactor Stock, please use our How to Invest in FormFactor guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FormFactor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.5341.4549.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.2844.2047.12
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.9539.5043.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.180.190.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FormFactor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FormFactor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FormFactor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FormFactor.

FormFactor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FormFactor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FormFactor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FormFactor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FormFactor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FormFactor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FormFactor's historical news coverage. FormFactor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.04 and 47.88, respectively. We have considered FormFactor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
44.85
44.96
After-hype Price
47.88
Upside
FormFactor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FormFactor is based on 3 months time horizon.

FormFactor Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FormFactor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FormFactor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FormFactor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
2.92
  0.11 
  0.03 
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.85
44.96
0.25 
429.41  
Notes

FormFactor Hype Timeline

FormFactor is currently traded for 44.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. FormFactor is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on FormFactor is about 1557.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.82. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 663.1 M. Net Income was 82.39 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 308.26 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out FormFactor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in FormFactor Stock, please use our How to Invest in FormFactor guide.

FormFactor Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FormFactor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FormFactor's future price movements. Getting to know how FormFactor rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FormFactor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

FormFactor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FormFactor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FormFactor using various technical indicators. When you analyze FormFactor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FormFactor Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FormFactor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FormFactor, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FormFactor based on analysis of FormFactor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FormFactor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FormFactor's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Book Value Ratio3.552.131.922.02
Operating Cycle158.64142.48128.23101.61

Story Coverage note for FormFactor

The number of cover stories for FormFactor depends on current market conditions and FormFactor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FormFactor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FormFactor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

FormFactor Short Properties

FormFactor's future price predictability will typically decrease when FormFactor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FormFactor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FormFactor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FormFactor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments329.5 M
When determining whether FormFactor is a strong investment it is important to analyze FormFactor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FormFactor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FormFactor Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FormFactor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in FormFactor Stock, please use our How to Invest in FormFactor guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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When running FormFactor's price analysis, check to measure FormFactor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FormFactor is operating at the current time. Most of FormFactor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FormFactor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FormFactor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FormFactor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FormFactor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FormFactor. If investors know FormFactor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FormFactor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
1.05
Revenue Per Share
8.571
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
Return On Assets
0.0072
Return On Equity
0.096
The market value of FormFactor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FormFactor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FormFactor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FormFactor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FormFactor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FormFactor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FormFactor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FormFactor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FormFactor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.