Gilead Sciences Stock Price Prediction

GILD Stock  USD 73.25  0.24  0.33%   
At the present time, The RSI of Gilead Sciences' share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gilead Sciences, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

51

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Gilead Sciences stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gilead Sciences shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gilead Sciences' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gilead Sciences and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gilead Sciences' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gilead Sciences, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gilead Sciences' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.71
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.09
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.43
Wall Street Target Price
85.04
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gilead Sciences based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gilead stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gilead Sciences over a specific investment horizon. Using Gilead Sciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gilead Sciences from the perspective of Gilead Sciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gilead Sciences using Gilead Sciences' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gilead using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gilead Sciences' stock price.

Gilead Sciences Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Gilead Sciences' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gilead. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gilead Sciences stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Gilead Sciences may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gilead Sciences and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gilead Sciences with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
77.2782
Short Percent
0.0177
Short Ratio
2.55
Shares Short Prior Month
19.7 M
50 Day MA
75.6718

Gilead Sciences Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Gilead Sciences' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gilead. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gilead can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gilead Sciences. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gilead Sciences' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gilead Sciences.

Gilead Sciences Implied Volatility

    
  24.93  
Gilead Sciences' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gilead Sciences stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gilead Sciences' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gilead Sciences stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gilead Sciences' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gilead Sciences. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gilead Sciences to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gilead because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gilead Sciences after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 73.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gilead contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gilead Sciences will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.56% per day over the life of the 2024-03-28 option contract. With Gilead Sciences trading at USD 73.25, that is roughly USD 1.14 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gilead Sciences' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gilead Sciences options at the current volatility level of 24.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Gilead Sciences Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Gilead Stock refer to our How to Trade Gilead Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gilead Sciences' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.1978.0479.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.2371.9873.73
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
77.7885.4794.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.211.581.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gilead Sciences. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gilead Sciences' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gilead Sciences' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gilead Sciences.

Gilead Sciences After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gilead Sciences at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gilead Sciences or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gilead Sciences, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gilead Sciences Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gilead Sciences' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gilead Sciences' historical news coverage. Gilead Sciences' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.90 and 75.40, respectively. We have considered Gilead Sciences' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
73.25
73.65
After-hype Price
75.40
Upside
Gilead Sciences is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gilead Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gilead Sciences Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gilead Sciences is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gilead Sciences backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gilead Sciences, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.74
  0.09 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
73.25
73.65
0.14 
245.07  
Notes

Gilead Sciences Hype Timeline

Gilead Sciences is currently traded for 73.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gilead is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 73.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Gilead Sciences is about 46400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.25. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.12 B. Net Income was 5.61 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.62 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Gilead Sciences Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Gilead Stock refer to our How to Trade Gilead Stock guide.

Gilead Sciences Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gilead Sciences' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gilead Sciences' future price movements. Getting to know how Gilead Sciences rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gilead Sciences may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NTGLNanoTech Gaming 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FUVArcimoto(0.03)3 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.56 (5.77) 32.20 
WIGAFWicket Gaming AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MPXMarine Products(0.47)6 per month 2.89 (0) 6.33 (4.57) 22.62 
GPGreenPower Motor(0.07)10 per month 0.00 (0.23) 4.87 (5.02) 16.54 
PCARPACCAR Inc 1.79 10 per month 0.05  0.24  2.30 (0.99) 5.59 
NTESNetEase(1.25)8 per month 3.28 (0.02) 5.21 (3.89) 16.06 
BWOWFWowjoint Holdings Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Gilead Sciences Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gilead price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gilead using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gilead charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gilead Sciences Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gilead Sciences stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gilead Sciences, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gilead Sciences based on analysis of Gilead Sciences hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gilead Sciences's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gilead Sciences's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03950.03440.03770.0485
Price To Sales Ratio3.343.953.733.54

Story Coverage note for Gilead Sciences

The number of cover stories for Gilead Sciences depends on current market conditions and Gilead Sciences' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gilead Sciences is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gilead Sciences' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Gilead Sciences Short Properties

Gilead Sciences' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gilead Sciences' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gilead Sciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gilead Sciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gilead Sciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments8.4 B
When determining whether Gilead Sciences is a strong investment it is important to analyze Gilead Sciences' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Gilead Sciences' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Gilead Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Gilead Sciences Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Gilead Stock refer to our How to Trade Gilead Stock guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

Complementary Tools for Gilead Stock analysis

When running Gilead Sciences' price analysis, check to measure Gilead Sciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gilead Sciences is operating at the current time. Most of Gilead Sciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gilead Sciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gilead Sciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gilead Sciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gilead Sciences' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gilead Sciences. If investors know Gilead will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gilead Sciences listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Dividend Share
3
Earnings Share
4.5
Revenue Per Share
21.728
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Gilead Sciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gilead that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gilead Sciences' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gilead Sciences' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gilead Sciences' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gilead Sciences' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gilead Sciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gilead Sciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gilead Sciences' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.